Colon FC Reserve - Montevideo Wanderers Reserves prediction 07/09/2026

This Colon FC Reserve vs Montevideo Wanderers Reserves prediction looks at the Primera Division Reserve League match on Sep 07 at 18:00. Based on the stats, Montevideo Wanderers Reserves is the slight favorite with a 42% chance to win, while Colon FC Reserve has a 30% chance and the draw sits at 28%.

Team Form

Colon FC Reserve comes into this match with three wins and two losses in their last five games. Their most recent result was a 4-2 defeat away to La Luz FC Reserves on Aug 31. Before that, they lost 3-2 at CA Progreso Reserves. The three wins came against Montevideo City Torque Reserves (2-1), Deportivo Maldonado Reserves (2-0), and Club Oriental de La Paz Reserves (3-0). Their form string reads L, L, W, W, W.

Montevideo Wanderers Reserves have two wins, two losses, and one draw in their last five. They lost 2-1 at home to Montevideo City Torque Reserves on Aug 31 and 3-0 away to Deportivo Maldonado Reserves on Aug 24. Wins came against Club Oriental de La Paz Reserves (4-2) and Nacional Montevideo Reserves (2-1). The draw was a 0-0 home result against Boston River Reserves. Their form string is L, L, W, W, D.

Head-to-Head Record

These two teams have met once before. On May 04, Montevideo Wanderers Reserves beat Colon FC Reserve 3-0 at home. That gives Montevideo Wanderers Reserves one away win in the head-to-head, with no draws and no wins for Colon FC Reserve.

League Table Positions

Both teams play in the Primera Division Reserve League in Uruguay. Specific table positions and points are not available in the data, but recent form shows both sides picking up wins after some defeats, which suggests they are close in the standings.

Win Probability: Colon FC Reserve or Montevideo Wanderers Reserves?

We calculated the win probability using the odds from bookmakers and adjusted for team form and the head-to-head record. The inverse of the best available odds gives a raw probability, which we then normalized to remove the bookmaker margin. Montevideo Wanderers Reserves has a 42% chance to win, the draw is at 28%, and Colon FC Reserve has a 30% chance. The away side gets the edge because of their 3-0 win in the only previous meeting and slightly more consistent results against stronger opponents.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers see this as a close match. The best odds available are 4.50 for a Colon FC Reserve home win, 3.65 for the draw, and 1.65 for a Montevideo Wanderers Reserves away win. Other odds show 4.33/2.38/2.15 and 4.10/2.40/2.10. Based on the stats, the Montevideo Wanderers Reserves vs Colon FC Reserve betting tips point toward the away side, but the draw is a real possibility. Our final Colon FC Reserve vs Montevideo Wanderers Reserves prediction is a narrow away win or a draw, with the visitors more likely to take all three points.