MS Tira - Hapoel Bnei Musmus prediction 23/09/2026

Our MS Tira vs Hapoel Bnei Musmus prediction for the League Alef match on Sep 23 at 14:00 points to a home win. MS Tira has a 52% chance of winning, the draw is at 28%, and Hapoel Bnei Musmus has a 20% chance. The bookmakers and recent form both support MS Tira as the favorite.

Team Form

MS Tira comes into this match with solid recent results. Their last five matches show two wins and three draws (D, W, W, D, D). In their most recent game on Sep 18, they drew 1-1 away against Hapoel Ihud Bnei Jat. Before that, they beat Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed 1-0 on Sep 4 and won 3-2 at Hapoel Beit Shean Mesilot in the Cup on Aug 30. They are hard to beat right now.

Hapoel Bnei Musmus is struggling for wins. Their last five matches are two losses and three draws (L, L, D, D, D). They lost 2-1 at home to Beitar Nahariya on Sep 18 and suffered a 3-0 defeat away to Hapoel Ironi Karmiel on Sep 10. The team has not scored in three of those five games, which is a big concern for their chances in this match.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record between these two teams is perfectly balanced. In their two previous meetings, both in League Alef, each side has one win. Hapoel Bnei Musmus won 2-1 at home on Nov 5, 2025. MS Tira won 3-1 away on Dec 20, 2024. There are no draws in this fixture, and the away team has won both times.

League Table Positions

Both teams play in League Alef in Israel. The JSON data does not include the exact current league table positions or points, but the recent form gives us a clear picture. MS Tira's unbeaten run in their last five matches suggests they are in the top half of the table. Hapoel Bnei Musmus, with no wins in five, is likely near the bottom. The form gap between the two sides is significant.

Win Probability: MS Tira or Hapoel Bnei Musmus?

Based on the odds, team form, and head-to-head record, we calculate the win probability as follows: MS Tira has a 52% chance to win, the draw has a 28% chance, and Hapoel Bnei Musmus has a 20% chance. The odds from bookmakers show MS Tira as the favorite with a best price of 2.10. We used the inverse of the odds, normalized to remove the bookmaker margin, and then adjusted for MS Tira's stronger recent form and the home advantage. Hapoel Bnei Musmus's poor scoring record and two heavy losses reduce their chances. The most likely match outcome is a home win for MS Tira.

Odds & Match Prediction

The available odds for this match show a clear favorite. One bookmaker offers 2.10 for a home win, 2.30 for the draw, and 5.00 for an away win. Another has 1.52 for MS Tira, 3.75 for the draw, and 4.90 for Hapoel Bnei Musmus. Bookmakers see MS Tira as the favorite, and the high odds for the away win reflect Hapoel Bnei Musmus's poor form. Our MS Tira vs Hapoel Bnei Musmus prediction is a home win. The betting tips point to backing MS Tira to win, given their solid defense and the opponent's goal-scoring problems. A draw is the second most likely result, but the value is on the home side.