Mszczonowianka Mszczonow - Hutnik Warszawa prediction 26/08/2026

Mszczonowianka Mszczonow vs Hutnik Warszawa prediction for the IV Liga match on August 26, 2026, at 15:00. Based on the odds and recent form, Hutnik Warszawa is the clear favorite with a 60% win probability. The home team has struggled lately, while Hutnik comes in with stronger results and a perfect head-to-head record.

Forma das Equipes

Mszczonowianka Mszczonow has not won in their last five matches, with two draws and three losses. They lost 2-1 to Mazur Karczew and 3-1 to Victoria Sulejowek, drew 3-3 with Wilga Garwolin and 1-1 with Ursus Warszawa, and also lost 2-1 to Hutnik Warszawa in the most recent H2H. Their defense has been leaking goals, and they have not kept a clean sheet in this stretch.

Hutnik Warszawa has three wins in their last five outings. They beat Blonianka Blonie 4-1, crushed Victoria Sulejowek 5-1 away, and also defeated Mszczonowianka 2-1. The two losses came against Mlawianka Mlawa in a friendly and MKS Piaseczno in the league. Overall, Hutnik's attack has been productive, scoring 12 goals in those five games.

Histórico de Confrontos

The head-to-head record is completely one-sided. Hutnik Warszawa has won both previous meetings against Mszczonowianka Mszczonow. On June 5, 2026, Hutnik won 2-1 at home, and on March 21, 2025, they secured a 1-0 away victory. Mszczonowianka has yet to score more than one goal in a match against Hutnik, and they have never led at any point in those two games.

Probabilidade de Vitória: Mszczonowianka Mszczonow ou Hutnik Warszawa?

After analyzing the odds, team form, and H2H record, we calculate the win probabilities as follows: Mszczonowianka Mszczonow has a 20% chance to win, the draw is at 20%, and Hutnik Warszawa has a 60% chance. The bookmakers' odds imply a similar distribution, and the on-field data supports Hutnik's dominance. Mszczonowianka's poor home form and Hutnik's perfect H2H record make the away win the most likely outcome.

Odds e Previsão da Partida

The pre-match odds for the 1X2 market are: Mszczonowianka Mszczonow win at 4.50, draw at 4.50, and Hutnik Warszawa win at 1.50. These odds clearly point to Hutnik as the favorite. Our Mszczonowianka Mszczonow vs Hutnik Warszawa prediction is an away win, based on the stats and the huge gap in recent performances. A bet on Hutnik to win offers value even at short odds, considering their 60% implied probability. For those looking for higher returns, the under 2.5 goals market might also be worth a look, as both H2H matches ended with two or three total goals.