NAC Breda - Jong FC Utrecht prediction 11/09/2026

Our NAC Breda vs Jong FC Utrecht prediction for the 1 Eerste Divisie match on Sep 11, 2026, at 18:00 points to a home win. Based on the latest team form, head-to-head record, and league table positions, NAC Breda has a 62% chance of winning, the draw is at 22%, and Jong FC Utrecht has a 16% chance.

Team Form

NAC Breda come into this match with mixed results. Their last five games show two wins, two losses, and one draw. They beat Jong Ajax 3-2 at home and won 2-1 away at Oss, but lost 4-2 to RKC Waalwijk and 2-0 at home to VVV Venlo. They also drew 2-2 with Roda JC Kerkrade. The team has scored 9 goals in their last five matches but conceded 11, showing some defensive issues.

Jong FC Utrecht are in terrible form. They have lost their last five matches in a row. They lost 2-1 to Jong AZ Alkmaar, 2-1 to Oss, 6-1 at home to Heracles Almelo, 3-1 at home to Vitesse Arnhem, and 2-1 to MVV Maastricht. They have conceded 15 goals in these five games, an average of 3 per match, and scored only 5.

Head-to-Head Record

In the last 10 meetings between NAC Breda and Jong FC Utrecht, NAC Breda have won 4, Jong FC Utrecht have won 2, and there have been 4 draws. The most recent match was on Mar 01, 2024, when NAC Breda won 3-1 at home. Before that, they drew 1-1 away on Oct 02, 2023. NAC Breda also won 3-1 at home in September 2022. Jong FC Utrecht's last win in this fixture was a 4-1 home victory in February 2023. The overall head-to-head record clearly favors NAC Breda, especially at home.

League Table Positions

NAC Breda are currently 11th in the 1 Eerste Divisie table with 7 points from 5 matches. They have 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with 9 goals scored and 11 conceded. In the away standings, NAC Breda are 7th with 4 points from 3 away games. Jong FC Utrecht are not listed in the top 12 of the overall table, which suggests they are lower down. Their recent form of five straight losses indicates they are struggling near the bottom. The gap in quality and confidence between the two sides is significant right now.

Win Probability: NAC Breda or Jong FC Utrecht?

After analyzing all available data, we calculate the win probability as follows: NAC Breda win - 62%, draw - 22%, Jong FC Utrecht win - 16%. This is based on NAC Breda's superior head-to-head record at home, Jong FC Utrecht's terrible run of five consecutive defeats, and the home advantage factor. While no odds are available in the data to use as a baseline, the form and H2H stats give NAC Breda a clear edge. Jong FC Utrecht's defense has been leaking goals, and NAC Breda have shown they can score at home. The most likely outcome is a home win.

Odds & Match Prediction

No specific odds are provided in the data for this match. However, based on the stats, bookmakers would likely see NAC Breda as the strong favorite. Our NAC Breda vs Jong FC Utrecht prediction is a home win. The form guide and head-to-head record both point in that direction. Jong FC Utrecht's losing streak makes it hard to back them, even as an underdog. A bet on NAC Breda to win looks like the safest option, while a high-scoring game is also possible given both teams' recent defensive records.