River Plate Montevideo Reserves - Nacional Montevideo Reserves prediction 07/09/2026

River Plate Montevideo Reserves vs Nacional Montevideo Reserves prediction for Sep 07, 2026 at 18:00 in the Primera Division Reserve League. Based on the odds, head-to-head record and recent form, Nacional Montevideo Reserves is the favorite with a 52% win probability. River Plate Montevideo Reserves has a 25% chance, and the draw is at 23%.

Team Form

River Plate Montevideo Reserves come into this match with three wins, one draw and one loss in their last five games. They beat Boston River Reserves 2-1 away on Sep 01, drew 3-3 with Defensor Sporting Reserves on Aug 24, lost 5-2 to Albion Montevideo Reserves on Aug 17, beat Central Espanol Reserve 3-1 on Aug 10, and won 5-4 against Cerro Largo Reserve on Aug 03.

Nacional Montevideo Reserves have two wins, one draw and two losses in their last five matches. They lost 2-0 to Racing Montevideo Reserves on Aug 31, drew 1-1 with Juventud de las Piedras Reserves on Aug 24, beat Liverpool Montevideo Reserves 3-0 on Aug 17, lost 2-1 to Montevideo Wanderers Reserves on Aug 10, and won 5-0 against La Luz FC Reserves on Aug 03.

Head-to-Head Record

In the last five head-to-head meetings between these two reserve teams, Nacional Montevideo Reserves have won four times, River Plate Montevideo Reserves have won once, and there have been two draws. The most recent match on May 04, 2026 ended 1-0 to River Plate Montevideo Reserves away from home. Before that, Nacional Montevideo Reserves won 3-0 at home on Sep 01, 2025, and 4-0 away on Jul 21, 2025. The other two matches in March 2025 ended in draws: 1-1 and 0-0.

League Table Positions

The JSON data does not include current league table positions or points for these teams, so no table comparison is available for this River Plate Montevideo Reserves vs Nacional Montevideo Reserves prediction. The head-to-head record and recent form are the main statistical indicators for this match.

Win Probability: River Plate Montevideo Reserves or Nacional Montevideo Reserves?

Based on the odds, form and head-to-head record, Nacional Montevideo Reserves has a 52% chance of winning this match. River Plate Montevideo Reserves has a 25% chance, and the draw is at 23%. The away team's strong head-to-head record - four wins in the last five meetings - is the main factor behind this probability. River Plate Montevideo Reserves have better recent form with three wins in their last five, but their home record against Nacional Montevideo Reserves is weak: they have not beaten them at home in the last three home H2H matches.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers see this as a close match. The available 1X2 odds are: home win at 3.80, draw at 2.30, away win at 2.30 in one bookmaker; 4.00, 2.38 and 2.25 in another; and 3.70, 3.45 and 1.78 in a third. The third bookmaker clearly favors Nacional Montevideo Reserves with odds of 1.78 for the away win. Based on the stats, the most likely outcome is an away win for Nacional Montevideo Reserves. A draw is also a realistic option given the two draws in the last five H2H matches. For betting tips, the away win or draw double chance looks like a solid option.