Naft Masjed Soleyman - Palayesh Naft Bandar Abbas prediction 22/09/2026

Naft Masjed Soleyman vs Palayesh Naft Bandar Abbas prediction for the Azadegan League match on Sep 22, 2026, at 13:00. Based on the stats and odds, Naft Masjed Soleyman has a 30% chance to win, the draw is at 45%, and Palayesh Naft Bandar Abbas has a 25% chance. The bookmakers see the draw as the most likely outcome, but the home team's recent form gives them a slight edge in the win market.

Team Form

Naft Masjed Soleyman comes into this match with strong form: four wins and one loss in the last five games. Their most recent result was a 3-0 away win against Ario on Sep 16. Before that, they beat Besat Kermanshah 2-0, lost 2-0 to Niroye Zamini, and then defeated Fajr Sepasi 2-1 and Shahrdari Astara 6-0. That is 13 goals scored and only 3 conceded in those five matches.

Palayesh Naft Bandar Abbas has a mixed record: two wins, two draws, and one loss in the last five. They drew 0-0 with Mes Kerman on Jul 3, won 2-0 against Navad Urmia FC, lost 1-0 to Ario, beat Shahrdari Noshahr 1-0, and drew 0-0 with FC Pars Jonoubi Jam Bushehr. The away side has kept three clean sheets in that run, but scoring has been a problem with only three goals in five games.

Head-to-Head Record

These teams have met only once before, on Dec 13, 2024, in the Azadegan League. That match ended in a 1-1 draw. So the head-to-head record shows 0 wins for Naft Masjed Soleyman, 1 draw, and 0 wins for Palayesh Naft Bandar Abbas. The small sample makes it hard to draw conclusions, but the draw result fits the odds pattern for this fixture.

League Table Positions

After one match, Naft Masjed Soleyman sits top of the overall Azadegan League table with 3 points, having won 3-0 away. Palayesh Naft Bandar Abbas is 6th with 1 point from a 1-1 home draw. In the home standings, Naft Masjed Soleyman has yet to play at home this season. Palayesh Naft Bandar Abbas has 1 point from its only home game. The away table shows Naft Masjed Soleyman in 1st place with a perfect away record so far.

Win Probability: Naft Masjed Soleyman or Palayesh Naft Bandar Abbas?

We calculate the win probability using the odds as a base and then adjust for recent form and head-to-head data. The inverse of the 1X2 odds (3.50 home, 1.88 draw, 3.25 away) gives raw probabilities: 25.4% for a Naft Masjed Soleyman win, 47.3% for the draw, and 27.3% for a Palayesh Naft Bandar Abbas win. After normalizing to remove the bookmaker margin and factoring in Naft Masjed Soleyman's excellent recent results (4 wins in 5) and the away team's lack of goals, we shift the numbers slightly. The final win probability is: Naft Masjed Soleyman 30%, draw 45%, Palayesh Naft Bandar Abbas 25%. The draw remains the single most likely outcome, but Naft Masjed Soleyman is the favorite to win if we exclude the draw.

Odds & Match Prediction

The current odds for this Azadegan League match are: home win 3.50, draw 1.88, away win 3.25. Bookmakers clearly rate the draw as the most probable result. Our Naft Masjed Soleyman vs Palayesh Naft Bandar Abbas prediction aligns with that view: a draw is the safest call based on the stats. However, Naft Masjed Soleyman's attacking form at home could tip the balance. For betting tips, the draw no bet on Naft Masjed Soleyman might offer value, and under 2.5 goals looks likely given Palayesh Naft Bandar Abbas's tight defense and low-scoring recent matches.