Nakhon Ratchasima FC - Muang Loei United prediction 13/10/2026

Nakhon Ratchasima FC vs Muang Loei United prediction for the Division 2 match on Oct 13 at 09:00. Based on the stats, Muang Loei United is the favorite with a 48% win probability, while Nakhon Ratchasima FC has a 27% chance and the draw sits at 25%.

Team Form

Nakhon Ratchasima FC comes into this match without a win in their last five games. Their recent results show three draws and two losses. They drew 1-1 away against BEC Police Tero Sasana on Oct 10, lost 1-2 at home to Chainat FC on Sep 19, and drew 1-1 away at Mahasarakham United on Sep 16. Before that, they lost 1-2 at home to Chiangmai FC on Sep 12 and drew 2-2 away at Nakhon Pathom on Sep 5. The team has struggled to close out matches.

Muang Loei United shows better form with two wins, two draws and one loss in their last five. They drew 2-2 at home against Pattaya Dolphins United on Oct 10 and 1-1 away at Songkhla United on Sep 20. Before those draws, they recorded two strong home wins: 2-0 against Phrae United on Sep 17 and 3-0 against Chainat FC on Sep 13. Their only recent defeat was a 0-1 loss away at BEC Police Tero Sasana on Sep 6.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record heavily favors Muang Loei United. In their last five meetings, Muang Loei United has won four times and there has been one draw. Nakhon Ratchasima FC has never beaten Muang Loei United in this period. The most recent match was on Jan 21, 2024, when Muang Loei United won 3-2 at home. The last time Nakhon Ratchasima FC hosted, on Oct 28, 2023, Muang Loei United won 2-1. The only draw was a 1-1 result back on Feb 20, 2022.

League Table Positions

In the overall Division 2 standings, Muang Loei United sits in 6th place with 8 points from 5 matches, having scored 8 goals and conceded 4. Nakhon Ratchasima FC is not in the top 12 of the provided table, which suggests a lower position. Muang Loei United's home form is strong - they are 2nd in the home table with 7 points from 3 games, scoring 7 and conceding only 2. Nakhon Ratchasima FC's away form has been poor, with no wins shown in their recent travels.

Win Probability: Nakhon Ratchasima FC or Muang Loei United?

After analyzing the odds, team form, head-to-head record and league positions, the win probability for this match is: Muang Loei United 48%, draw 25%, Nakhon Ratchasima FC 27%. The odds from bookmakers show Muang Loei United as the favorite, with average home odds around 1.98 and away odds around 3.67. The head-to-head dominance of Muang Loei United, with four wins in five matches, combined with Nakhon Ratchasima FC's winless run, makes the away side the more likely winner. Home advantage for Nakhon Ratchasima FC does not seem enough to overturn the gap in quality and recent results.

Odds & Match Prediction

The available odds for the 1X2 market show Nakhon Ratchasima FC as the home favorite in some books, with odds ranging from 1.75 to 2.14. The draw is priced between 2.10 and 3.40, and an away win for Muang Loei United is between 3.40 and 3.90. Despite the home odds being shorter, the deeper stats point to value on Muang Loei United. Based on the head-to-head record and current form, the Nakhon Ratchasima FC vs Muang Loei United prediction is an away win or draw for Muang Loei United. A 1-2 scoreline looks like a realistic match outcome.