JK Narva Trans II - FA Tartu Kalev prediction 15/10/2026

Our JK Narva Trans II vs FA Tartu Kalev prediction for this Esiliiga B match on Oct 15 at 13:00 is that the home side has a strong 60% chance of winning. JK Narva Trans II comes into the game in perfect form, and the head-to-head record also points toward a home victory.

Team Form

JK Narva Trans II is in outstanding shape with five straight wins. In their last match on Oct 11, they beat Johvi FC Phoenix 1-0 away. Before that, they secured away wins against Tallinna JK Legion (2-1) and Tallinna Kalev II (2-1), plus home victories over Tartu JK Tammeka 2 (1-0) and FCI Levadia Tallinn U19 (1-0). The team is solid at the back, keeping clean sheets in three of those five games.

FA Tartu Kalev's form is mixed with two wins and three losses in their last five. They lost 2-0 at home to FCI Levadia Tallinn U19 on Oct 10 and suffered a heavy 6-1 defeat at Viljandi Tulevik on Sep 26. They did manage away wins at Parnu JK Vaprus II (4-0) and Tallinna JK Legion (2-1), but also lost 1-0 at home to JK Narva Trans II on Sep 6.

Head-to-Head Record

In the last 11 meetings, JK Narva Trans II has won 6, FA Tartu Kalev has won 3, and 2 ended in draws. The most recent clash was on Sep 6, 2026, when JK Narva Trans II won 1-0 away. Earlier this season, on Jun 18, JK Narva Trans II won 3-2 at home. FA Tartu Kalev's last win in this fixture was a 3-0 home victory on Mar 14, 2026. The biggest win in recent H2H history was a 6-1 home win for JK Narva Trans II on Nov 9, 2025.

League Table Positions

In the overall Esiliiga B standings, FA Tartu Kalev sits 6th with 47 points from 31 games, while the home team's name does not appear in the provided table. The table is led by Narva U21 with 66 points. At home, FA Tartu Kalev has 29 points from 18 games (5th place), and away they have 18 points from 13 games (5th place). The standings show a competitive mid-table position for FA Tartu Kalev.

Win Probability: JK Narva Trans II or FA Tartu Kalev?

Based on all available data, we calculate the win probability as follows: JK Narva Trans II has a 60% chance to win, the draw is at 22%, and FA Tartu Kalev has an 18% chance. This assessment is driven by JK Narva Trans II's perfect five-match winning streak, their 6-3 head-to-head advantage, and the fact they won the most recent meeting just over a month ago. FA Tartu Kalev's inconsistent form and heavy defeats on the road reduce their chances. Home advantage for JK Narva Trans II further strengthens their favorite status.

Odds & Match Prediction

No specific bookmaker odds are provided in the data for this match. However, based on the stats, bookmakers would likely see JK Narva Trans II as the clear favorite. Our JK Narva Trans II vs FA Tartu Kalev prediction is a home win. The team's defensive solidity and winning momentum make them the best betting tip for this Esiliiga B fixture. A low-scoring game is possible, given JK Narva Trans II's recent 1-0 results.