Nassaji Mazandaran - Kheybar Khorramabad prediction 07/09/2026

Our Nassaji Mazandaran vs Kheybar Khorramabad prediction for the Pro League match on Sep 07 at 15:30 points to a tight contest where Kheybar Khorramabad holds a slight edge. Based on the latest odds, form, and head-to-head record, Kheybar Khorramabad has a 45% chance of winning, a draw sits at 30%, and Nassaji Mazandaran has a 25% chance.

Team Form

Nassaji Mazandaran come into this match with a mixed run of results. Their last five matches show a pattern of W, L, D, L, L. They managed a 1-0 away win against Malavan on Sep 02, but suffered a 0-2 home loss to Shams Azar Qazvin on Aug 28. Before that, they drew 1-1 with Esteghlal Khuzestan and lost 0-1 at home to Esteghlal Tehran and 0-1 away to Gol Gohar. Scoring has been a problem, with only two goals in those five games.

Kheybar Khorramabad's recent form reads W, D, L, D, D. They secured a solid 2-0 home win over Foolad Khuzestan on Sep 02. An exciting 2-2 draw at Aluminium Arak on Aug 28 was followed by a 2-3 home loss to Paykan. They also drew 1-1 away to Mes Shahre Babak and 1-1 at home to Fajr Sepasi. They are finding the net more consistently, with eight goals in their last five outings.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record heavily favors Kheybar Khorramabad. In five previous meetings, Nassaji Mazandaran have zero wins, there has been one draw, and Kheybar Khorramabad have four wins. The most recent clash was on Apr 17, 2025, when Kheybar Khorramabad won 1-0 at home. The only draw was a 0-0 result on Dec 13, 2024, at Nassaji Mazandaran's ground. Earlier matches in the Azadegan League all ended in big wins for Kheybar Khorramabad.

League Table Positions

Looking at the Pro League standings, Kheybar Khorramabad sit 9th with 6 points from 5 matches, having scored 8 and conceded 7. Nassaji Mazandaran are not in the top 12 shown in the overall table, indicating a lower position. Kheybar Khorramabad's away form is not listed in the top 8, while their home form ranks 8th with 4 points from 3 games. Nassaji Mazandaran's home and away records are also absent from the top 8, suggesting they have struggled for points.

Win Probability: Nassaji Mazandaran or Kheybar Khorramabad?

After analyzing all available data, we calculate the win probability as follows: Kheybar Khorramabad 45%, draw 30%, Nassaji Mazandaran 25%. The base comes from the 1X2 odds (home 2.90, draw 2.92, away 2.42). Removing the bookmaker margin, the implied probabilities are roughly 34% for a home win, 34% for a draw, and 41% for an away win. We then adjust for Kheybar Khorramabad's dominant head-to-head record (4 wins in 5 games) and their slightly better recent form, which increases their chances. Nassaji Mazandaran's poor scoring form and low table position reduce their probability. The draw gets a boost from both teams' recent results, with Kheybar Khorramabad drawing three of their last five and Nassaji Mazandaran drawing one. The conclusion is clear: Kheybar Khorramabad are the more likely winners, but a draw is a real possibility.

Odds & Match Prediction

The bookmakers' odds for this match are: Nassaji Mazandaran win at 2.90, a draw at 2.92, and Kheybar Khorramabad win at 2.42. These odds show Kheybar Khorramabad as the favorite. Our Nassaji Mazandaran vs Kheybar Khorramabad prediction aligns with this view. Based on the stats, the head-to-head dominance, and the current form, an away win is the most probable outcome. However, given the low-scoring nature of Nassaji Mazandaran's recent games and the draw results in Kheybar Khorramabad's matches, a low-scoring draw is the second-most likely result. For betting tips, the away win offers value, but the draw is a safer hedge.