Cambuur Leeuwarden - NEC Nijmegen prediction 12/09/2026

Cambuur Leeuwarden vs NEC Nijmegen prediction for Sep 12, 2026 at 19:00 in the Eredivisie. NEC Nijmegen is the favorite with a 55% win probability, while Cambuur Leeuwarden has a 22% chance and the draw sits at 23%. This match at Cambuur Stadion in Leeuwarden is a key betting tips opportunity for fans looking at odds and team form.

Team Form

Cambuur Leeuwarden comes into this match with poor recent results. Their last five matches show one draw and four losses. They drew 2-2 away at Telstar on Sep 06, then lost 1-4 at home to Twente, 2-5 at home to Feyenoord, 1-3 away at Fortuna Sittard, and 0-4 at home to SBV Excelsior Rotterdam. That is a lot of goals conceded at home.

NEC Nijmegen has mixed form with one draw, one win, and three losses in their last five. They drew 2-2 at home with SBV Excelsior Rotterdam on Sep 08, lost 1-3 at home to Feyenoord, won 3-1 away at Zwolle, and lost twice to Bodo/Glimt in UEFA Champions League Qualification. Away from home in the Eredivisie, NEC Nijmegen has been stronger.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record between Cambuur Leeuwarden and NEC Nijmegen is very balanced. In 21 previous meetings, Cambuur Leeuwarden has 4 wins, NEC Nijmegen has 4 wins, and there are 13 draws. The last match was a 1-1 draw in the KNVB Beker on Feb 27, 2024. Before that, a 0-0 draw in the Eredivisie on Feb 11, 2023. NEC Nijmegen won the three Eredivisie meetings before that: 1-0 away on Nov 04, 2022, 2-1 away on Apr 03, 2022, and 2-1 away on Dec 16, 2021.

League Table Positions

In the Eredivisie overall standings, NEC Nijmegen is 9th with 7 points from 5 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 9. Cambuur Leeuwarden is not in the top 12 shown in the data, which suggests they are lower in the table. In the away standings, NEC Nijmegen is 7th with 6 points from 2 away matches, scoring 7 and conceding 2. Cambuur Leeuwarden does not appear in the home standings top 8, which points to weak home form.

Win Probability: Cambuur Leeuwarden or NEC Nijmegen?

Based on the odds, team form, head-to-head record, and league table positions, NEC Nijmegen has a 55% chance to win. The draw has a 23% probability, and Cambuur Leeuwarden has a 22% chance. The odds from bookmakers show NEC Nijmegen as the clear favorite, with away odds around 1.77 to 1.95. Cambuur Leeuwarden home odds are between 4.00 and 5.40. NEC Nijmegen has better away form and a stronger league position, while Cambuur Leeuwarden has lost four of their last five and conceded many goals at home.

Odds & Match Prediction

The odds for this match vary by bookmaker. Home win odds for Cambuur Leeuwarden range from 4.00 to 5.40. Draw odds are mostly 2.75, with one bookmaker offering 4.90. Away win odds for NEC Nijmegen range from 1.58 to 1.95. Bookmakers see NEC Nijmegen as the favorite. Based on the stats, the best prediction is an away win for NEC Nijmegen. A draw is also possible given the high number of draws in the head-to-head record, but the current form and away strength of NEC Nijmegen make them the more likely winner.