Vihren Sandanski - Nesebar prediction 27/09/2026

Our Vihren Sandanski vs Nesebar prediction looks at the B PFG match on Sep 27, 2026. Vihren Sandanski is the favorite with a 55% win probability, while Nesebar has a 20% chance and the draw sits at 25%. Below you find team form, head-to-head stats, league table positions and the best odds for this clash.

Team Form

Vihren Sandanski comes into this match with four wins in the last five games (L-W-W-W-W). The only recent setback was a 3-2 away loss against Sportist Svoge on Sep 21. Before that, they beat Dobrudzha 1919 2-0, Montana 4-1, Etar Veliko Tarnovo 4-1 and Spartak Pleven 2-0. The team is scoring freely and looks confident.

Nesebar's last five results show a mixed picture: W-D-W-L-D. They won 4-3 at home against Beroe Stara Zagora on Sep 20 and 2-1 against Rilski Sportist Samokov on Sep 6, but lost 1-0 away to Marek 1915 Dupnitsa and drew twice - 1-1 with Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa and 1-1 with Yantra Gabrovo. Away form is a concern with only one win in four road trips.

Head-to-Head Record

There is no head-to-head history between Vihren Sandanski and Nesebar. This will be the first official meeting, so no direct form guide is available. The prediction relies on current season stats and league positions.

League Table Positions

Vihren Sandanski tops the B PFG table with 21 points from 9 matches (6 wins, 3 draws, 0 losses). They are unbeaten and have scored 21 goals while conceding only 8. At home, they have 2 wins and 3 draws in 5 games - solid but with room to turn draws into wins.

Nesebar sits 5th with 17 points from 10 matches (5 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses). Their away record is 1 win, 1 draw and 2 losses in 4 games, with just 3 goals scored and 5 conceded. The gap between the two sides in the standings and the home advantage clearly favor Vihren Sandanski.

Win Probability: Vihren Sandanski or Nesebar?

Based on the odds, form, league table and home/away factor, we calculate the following win probabilities: Vihren Sandanski 55%, draw 25%, Nesebar 20%. The odds imply a home win chance around 52%, but Vihren's unbeaten record and Nesebar's weak away form push the probability higher. The draw is a realistic outcome given Vihren's three home draws this season, but the most likely result is a home victory.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers offer these 1X2 odds: Vihren Sandanski win at 1.73, draw at 2.50, Nesebar win at 7.00. The market clearly sees Vihren Sandanski as the favorite. Our Vihren Sandanski vs Nesebar prediction is a home win. The stats point to Vihren controlling the game, and with their scoring form, they should have enough to take all three points.