FC Cincinnati - New England Revolution prediction 14/10/2026

FC Cincinnati vs New England Revolution prediction for the MLS match on Oct 14, 2026, at 20:30 at TQL Stadium. Based on the latest form, head-to-head record, and bookmaker odds, FC Cincinnati has a 52% chance to win, the draw is at 26%, and New England Revolution has a 22% chance. This betting tips guide breaks down all the key stats to help you decide who will win.

Team Form

FC Cincinnati come into this match with mixed recent results. Their last five matches show two wins, two draws, and one loss. The most recent outing was a solid 3-1 away win against Atlanta United on Oct 10. Before that, they lost 3-1 to Montreal Impact and drew 2-2 with Houston Dynamo. At home, they drew 3-3 with Charlotte FC. The form string reads W, L, D, D, L, showing some inconsistency.

New England Revolution have three wins and two losses in their last five matches. Their last game was a 3-0 home loss to Seattle Sounders on Oct 10. Prior to that, they lost 3-0 away to Real Salt Lake. However, they had a strong run with three straight wins against Orlando City, Chicago Fire, and New York City. The away form string is L, L, W, W, W, so they have been better on the road recently before the two defeats.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record between these teams favors New England Revolution slightly. In 18 meetings, New England Revolution have 8 wins, FC Cincinnati have 5, and there have been 5 draws. The most recent match was on Mar 15, 2026, when New England Revolution won 6-1 at home. Earlier in 2026, a friendly ended 1-1. In MLS play during 2025, FC Cincinnati won 1-0 at home in April, and New England Revolution lost 1-0 at home to FC Cincinnati in June. The 2024 meeting saw FC Cincinnati win 2-1 away. The H2H stats show that away wins are common in this fixture.

League Table Positions

Looking at the overall MLS standings, New England Revolution sit 8th with 46 points from 28 matches (14 wins, 4 draws, 10 losses). FC Cincinnati are not in the top 12 of the overall table shown. At home, New England Revolution are strong with 29 points from 14 games (9 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses), ranking 4th in the home table. FC Cincinnati's home record is not listed in the top 8 of the home standings. Away from home, New England Revolution are not in the top 8 of the away table. The table positions suggest New England Revolution have had a better overall season, but FC Cincinnati will have the home advantage at TQL Stadium.

Win Probability: FC Cincinnati or New England Revolution?

The win probability calculation is based on the odds, recent form, and the fact the match is at TQL Stadium. The average bookmaker odds imply a home win probability around 48%, a draw around 28%, and an away win around 24% after removing the margin. Adjusting for FC Cincinnati's home advantage and New England Revolution's slightly better league position and H2H record, the final estimate is: FC Cincinnati win 52%, draw 26%, New England Revolution win 22%. FC Cincinnati are the favorites, but the match outcome is not a sure thing. The chances of a draw are also significant.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers see this as a competitive match. The best odds available for a FC Cincinnati win are around 2.15, the draw is priced at about 2.70, and a New England Revolution away win is at 3.30. Some books have the home win as low as 1.73. The odds suggest FC Cincinnati are the favorites. Based on the stats, the FC Cincinnati vs New England Revolution prediction is a home win, but with caution. The head-to-head record shows New England Revolution can get a result here. For betting tips, the home win offers value if you trust the home form adjustment, but the draw is also a real possibility given the recent H2H draws and FC Cincinnati's two draws in their last five matches.