Central Cordoba Santiago Reserves - Newells Old Boys Reserves prediction 30/09/2026

The Central Cordoba Santiago Reserves vs Newells Old Boys Reserves prediction for September 30, 2026, points to an away win. This Liga Profesional Reserves match kicks off at 19:00 local time in Argentina. Based on the latest odds, head-to-head record, and team form, Newells Old Boys Reserves is the favorite with a 52% win probability.

Team Form

Central Cordoba Santiago Reserves come into this match with a mixed run of results. Their last five matches show two wins and three losses (L, W, L, L, W). At home, they lost 0-1 to Atletico Tucuman Reserves on Sep 22, but beat Ferro Carril Oeste Reserves 2-1 on Aug 27. Defensively they have struggled, conceding 5 goals against CA Huracan Reserves on Sep 3.

Newells Old Boys Reserves also have two wins and three losses in their last five (W, W, L, L, L). They are coming off two strong home wins - 3-0 against Rosario Central Reserves and 4-0 against San Martin de San Juan Reserves. However, their away form is a concern, with losses at Independiente Rivadavia Reserves and CA Belgrano Cordoba Reserve.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record heavily favors Newells Old Boys Reserves. In two previous meetings, both in the Liga Profesional Reserves, Newells Old Boys Reserves won both. On Apr 28, 2026, they won 1-0 at home. On Aug 6, 2025, they secured a 2-1 victory. Central Cordoba Santiago Reserves have yet to record a win or even a draw in this fixture.

League Table Positions

Newells Old Boys Reserves sit 7th in the overall standings with 34 points from 19 matches (10 wins, 4 draws, 5 losses). Their away record is not among the top 8 listed, which suggests they are stronger at home. Central Cordoba Santiago Reserves are not in the top 12 of the overall table, indicating a lower position. The home team's home form is also not ranked in the top 8, while Newells Old Boys Reserves have the 3rd best home record in the league - but this match is away for them.

Win Probability: Central Cordoba Santiago Reserves or Newells Old Boys Reserves?

After analyzing the data, the win probability for this match is: Central Cordoba Santiago Reserves 22%, draw 26%, Newells Old Boys Reserves 52%. The calculation starts with the inverse of the best available odds (home 4.00, draw 2.15, away 2.45), which gives implied probabilities. After removing the bookmaker margin, the base chances are adjusted for Newells Old Boys Reserves' perfect head-to-head record (2 wins) and their higher league position. Central Cordoba Santiago Reserves' poor defensive form and lack of H2H success lower their chances. The draw gets a slight boost because the away team's recent road form is shaky. Overall, Newells Old Boys Reserves are the more likely winners.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers see this as a competitive match. The best odds available are: Central Cordoba Santiago Reserves win at 4.00, a draw at 2.15, and a Newells Old Boys Reserves win at 2.45. The draw is priced as the most likely single outcome by the odds, but our analysis factoring in H2H and league standing gives the edge to Newells Old Boys Reserves. Our Central Cordoba Santiago Reserves vs Newells Old Boys Reserves prediction is an away win, based on the stats and the visitors' historical dominance in this matchup.