Independiente Rivadavia Reserves - Newells Old Boys Reserves prediction 10/09/2026

Newells Old Boys Reserves vs Independiente Rivadavia Reserves prediction for the Liga Profesional Reserves match on Sep 10 at 18:00. Based on the stats, Newells Old Boys Reserves is the favorite with a 45% win probability, while Independiente Rivadavia Reserves has a 30% chance.

Team Form

Independiente Rivadavia Reserves come into this match with a poor run of form: L, D, L, W, L in their last five games. Their most recent match was a 4-0 loss away to Defensa y Justicia Reserves on Sep 03. Before that, they drew 1-1 at home against Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto Reserve. The only win in this stretch was a 2-1 home victory over Ferro Carril Oeste Reserves on Aug 13.

Newells Old Boys Reserves also show mixed results with L, L, L, W, D in their last five. They lost 0-2 at home to Deportivo Riestra Reserves on Sep 02 and fell 2-0 away to CA Belgrano Cordoba Reserve on Aug 27. A 1-0 away win at Colon de Santa Fe Reserves on Aug 11 and a 1-1 draw at Defensa y Justicia Reserves on Aug 05 are the brighter spots.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record between these two teams is perfectly balanced. In their two previous meetings, Independiente Rivadavia Reserves have one win and Newells Old Boys Reserves have one win, with no draws. The last match was on Apr 08, 2026, when Newells Old Boys Reserves won 2-0 at home. The earlier fixture on Jul 17, 2025, saw Independiente Rivadavia Reserves win 3-0 at home. Both teams have shown they can dominate on their own ground.

League Table Positions

In the overall Liga Profesional Reserves standings, Newells Old Boys Reserves sit 7th with 34 points from 19 matches (10 wins, 4 draws, 5 losses). Independiente Rivadavia Reserves are not in the top 12 shown, indicating a lower position. At home, Newells Old Boys Reserves are 3rd with 24 points from 9 games (8 wins, 0 draws, 1 loss), a very strong home record. The away table data does not include Independiente Rivadavia Reserves in the top 8, suggesting they struggle on the road.

Win Probability: Newells Old Boys Reserves or Independiente Rivadavia Reserves?

After calculating the odds, form, head-to-head record, and league positions, the win probability is: Newells Old Boys Reserves 45%, draw 25%, Independiente Rivadavia Reserves 30%. The odds from bookmakers (home win 3.75, draw 2.05, away win 2.75) were used as a base and adjusted for Newells Old Boys Reserves' excellent home form (8 wins in 9) and Independiente Rivadavia Reserves' poor recent away results. The draw probability is also significant given the low odds offered. Newells Old Boys Reserves are more likely to win this match.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers offer these pre-match odds: Independiente Rivadavia Reserves win at 3.75 or 3.90, the draw at 2.05, and Newells Old Boys Reserves win at 2.75 or 2.45. The low draw odds reflect how close this match could be. Based on the stats, the Newells Old Boys Reserves vs Independiente Rivadavia Reserves prediction points to an away win or a draw. Newells Old Boys Reserves' strong home form makes them the pick, but the head-to-head shows Independiente Rivadavia Reserves can compete. A bet on Newells Old Boys Reserves to win offers value at odds around 2.45.