Quilmes Reserves - Newells Old Boys Reserves prediction 13/10/2026

Our Quilmes Reserves vs Newells Old Boys Reserves prediction for October 13, 2026, in the Liga Profesional Reserves points to a tight match. Based on the latest odds, team form, and head-to-head record, Newells Old Boys Reserves enters as a slight favorite with a 42% win probability, while Quilmes Reserves has a 31% chance and the draw sits at 27%.

Team Form

Quilmes Reserves comes into this match with a mixed run of results. Their last five games show two draws, two wins, and one loss. They drew 1-1 away at Defensa y Justicia Reserves on Oct 6 and 1-1 at home against Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto Reserve on Sep 30. A 1-0 away win at CA Aldosivi Reserve on Sep 23 was followed by a 1-0 loss at CA Huracan Reserves on Sep 16. They bounced back with a 2-1 home win over Ferro Carril Oeste Reserves on Sep 8.

Newells Old Boys Reserves also shows two draws, two wins, and one loss in their last five. They drew 1-1 at home with Estudiantes La Plata Reserves on Oct 6 and 1-1 away at Central Cordoba Santiago Reserves on Sep 30. Before that, they posted two big home wins: 3-0 against Rosario Central Reserves on Sep 24 and 4-0 against San Martin de San Juan Reserves on Sep 17. Their away form took a hit with a 1-0 loss at Independiente Rivadavia Reserves on Sep 10.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record is short but clear. These teams have met only once before, on May 12, 2026. In that match, Newells Old Boys Reserves beat Quilmes Reserves 2-0 at home. That gives Newells Old Boys Reserves a 100% win record in this fixture so far, with no draws or wins for Quilmes Reserves.

League Table Positions

The JSON data does not include current league table positions or points for either team. Without that information, we focus on the available form and head-to-head stats to shape our Quilmes Reserves vs Newells Old Boys Reserves prediction.

Win Probability: Quilmes Reserves or Newells Old Boys Reserves?

We calculate the win probability based on the best available odds, recent form, and the only H2H result. The average bookmaker odds imply a tight contest. After removing the margin and normalizing, the raw odds suggest a home win around 36%, a draw around 30%, and an away win around 34%. We adjust these numbers using the teams' recent form and the head-to-head record. Newells Old Boys Reserves won the only previous meeting and has stronger recent home performances, which gives them a slight edge even playing away. Quilmes Reserves has been inconsistent, with two draws in their last two matches. The adjusted probabilities are: Quilmes Reserves win 31%, draw 27%, Newells Old Boys Reserves win 42%. The conclusion is that Newells Old Boys Reserves is more likely to win, but a draw is a real possibility.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers see this as an open match. The best available odds for the 1X2 market are: home win at 2.40, draw at 2.00, and away win at 2.62. Other bookies offer similar lines, with the home win ranging from 2.40 to 2.67, the draw from 2.00 to 3.17, and the away win from 2.62 to 3.30. Based on the stats, our Quilmes Reserves vs Newells Old Boys Reserves betting tip is to back Newells Old Boys Reserves to win, given their 42% probability and the value in the away win odds. The match outcome is likely to be close, and the total goals could be under 2.5 based on the recent 1-1 draws for both sides.