Newells Old Boys Reserves - Rosario Central Reserves prediction 24/09/2026

The Newells Old Boys Reserves vs Rosario Central Reserves prediction for September 24, 2026, points to a tight match in the Liga Profesional Reserves. Based on the latest odds and team form, Rosario Central Reserves enters as a slight favorite with a 47% win probability, while Newells Old Boys Reserves sits at 28% and the draw at 25%. The match kicks off at 15:00 local time in Argentina.

Team Form

Newells Old Boys Reserves has struggled recently, losing four of their last five matches. Their only win in that stretch was a 4-0 home victory against San Martin de San Juan Reserves on Sep 17. Before that, they fell to Independiente Rivadavia Reserves (1-0), Deportivo Riestra Reserves (2-0), CA Belgrano Cordoba Reserve (2-0), and CA Lanus Reserves (2-1). The home side has managed just one clean sheet in five games.

Rosario Central Reserves shows more balanced form with two wins, two draws, and one loss in their last five. They beat Atletico Tucuman Reserves (1-0) and Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza Reserves (2-1), drew with CA Barracas Central Reserves (2-2) and CA Talleres de Cordoba Reserves (2-2), and lost at home to Godoy Cruz Reserves (3-0). The away team has scored in four of those five matches.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record between these two reserve sides is limited to two meetings, both hosted by Rosario Central Reserves. The most recent clash on Apr 21, 2026, ended in a 3-3 draw. The earlier encounter on Sep 5, 2025, saw Rosario Central Reserves win 3-0. Newells Old Boys Reserves has yet to beat Rosario Central Reserves, with the H2H standing at 0 wins for Newells, 1 draw, and 1 win for Rosario.

League Table Positions

While exact league table positions are not provided in the data, the recent form suggests Rosario Central Reserves holds a higher spot. Newells Old Boys Reserves has collected only 3 points from their last five matches, while Rosario Central Reserves has earned 8 points in the same period. The gap in form gives the away side a clear edge heading into this fixture.

Win Probability: Newells Old Boys Reserves or Rosario Central Reserves?

We calculated the win probability using the available odds and recent performance data. The bookmakers' average odds imply a home win chance around 40%, a draw near 33%, and an away win near 27% before removing the margin. After adjusting for Newells Old Boys Reserves' poor form (one win in five) and Rosario Central Reserves' stronger results, plus the H2H edge for Rosario, the true probabilities shift. Newells Old Boys Reserves has a 28% chance of winning, the draw is at 25%, and Rosario Central Reserves has a 47% chance. The away team is the more likely winner, but the draw remains a real possibility given the 3-3 result in their last meeting.

Odds & Match Prediction

The best available odds for this match show home win prices between 2.25 and 2.35, draws from 2.05 to 3.13, and away wins from 2.82 to 3.50. The draw odds are notably short at some bookmakers, reflecting how close this game could be. Our Newells Old Boys Reserves vs Rosario Central Reserves prediction is a narrow away win or a draw. Based on the stats, Rosario Central Reserves is the value pick, but a low-scoring draw cannot be ruled out. For betting tips, the under 2.5 goals market may also appeal given both teams' recent defensive records.