NK Celje U19 - NS Mura U19 prediction 18/09/2026

NK Celje U19 vs NS Mura U19 prediction for the League U19 match on September 18, 2026 at 14:30. Based on the stats, NK Celje U19 is the slight favorite with a 40% win probability, while the draw sits at 35% and NS Mura U19 has 25%.

Team Form

NK Celje U19 comes into this match with mixed results: two wins and three losses in the last five outings. At home, they beat Nd Beltinci U19 2-1 and Koper U19 3-1, but fell to Radomlje U19 0-1 and suffered heavy away defeats. NS Mura U19 has an identical pattern: two wins, two losses, one draw. They smashed Nk Fuzinar U19 8-1 and edged NK Triglav U19 3-2, but also lost 0-4 and 0-1 on the road. Both sides lack consistency, which makes form a weak predictor.

Head-to-Head Record

The H2H record between NK Celje U19 and NS Mura U19 is remarkably even. In 9 meetings, NK Celje U19 won 3, NS Mura U19 won 2, and 4 ended in draws. The last encounter on March 2, 2026, saw NK Celje U19 win 2-1 away. Before that, on August 25, 2025, NK Celje U19 thrashed NS Mura U19 4-1 at home. Goals flow in this fixture - both teams scored in 4 of the last 5 clashes. The draw percentage is high, so a stalemate cannot be ruled out.

League Table Positions

League U19 standings are not included in the available data. Without current positions, we rely on recent results and H2H trends to assess the matchup.

Win Probability: NK Celje U19 or NS Mura U19?

We have calculated the outcome probabilities: NK Celje U19 win - 40%, draw - 35%, NS Mura U19 win - 25%. Bookmakers' odds (home 2.30, draw 2.50, away 3.50) suggest a tight contest. Removing the margin gives an implied chance of 38.8% for the home side, 35.7% for the draw, and 25.5% for the away team. Factoring in the home advantage and the slight edge in H2H home wins, NK Celje U19 gets a 40% chance. The draw is very real here because 4 of 9 previous meetings ended level. NS Mura U19 remains an outsider but not without a chance.

Odds & Match Prediction

The current 1X2 odds are: NK Celje U19 at 2.30, draw at 2.50, NS Mura U19 at 3.50. Bookmakers see NK Celje U19 as the favorite, but the draw price is close, confirming how balanced this game looks. Our NK Celje U19 vs NS Mura U19 prediction is a tight affair with a slight home edge. The "double chance" on NK Celje U19 or draw covers a 75% combined probability, making it a safe bet. For a value pick, the draw odds at 2.50 offer an attractive return given the history between these sides.