NS Mura U19 - NK Triglav U19 prediction 14/09/2026

NS Mura U19 vs NK Triglav U19 prediction for the League U19 match on Sep 14 at 14:30. Based on the head-to-head record and recent form, NK Triglav U19 enters this match as the favorite with a 48% win probability. NS Mura U19 has a 30% chance, and the draw sits at 22%.

Team Form

NS Mura U19 comes into this match with a mixed run: W, D, L, W, L in their last five games. Their most recent result was a 4-0 away loss to NK Jadran Dekani U19 on Sep 07. Before that, they secured a big 8-1 home win against Nk Fuzinar U19 on Aug 30. The team has been inconsistent, scoring heavily in one game and failing to find the net in others.

NK Triglav U19 shows a similar pattern with L, D, W, L, D in their last five. They lost 0-3 at home to Ilirija U19 on Sep 06 and drew 1-1 with Radomlje U19 on Sep 03. Their away form includes a 1-0 win at Nd Beltinci U19 on Aug 31 and a 1-1 draw at Koper U19 on Aug 20. The away team has been harder to beat on the road recently.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record heavily favors NK Triglav U19. In three previous meetings, NK Triglav U19 has won all three, with NS Mura U19 yet to record a win or even a draw. The most recent clash was on May 08, 2022, when NK Triglav U19 won 4-0 at home. Earlier, on Feb 20, 2022, NK Triglav U19 won 2-0 away at NS Mura U19. The first recorded meeting on Mar 28, 2021, ended 3-0 to NK Triglav U19, also away. Across these three games, NK Triglav U19 scored 9 goals and conceded none.

League Table Positions

Both teams compete in the Slovenia League U19. The JSON data does not include current league table positions or points, so a direct comparison of their standings is not possible here. However, the head-to-head record and recent form give a clear picture of the matchup dynamics.

Win Probability: NS Mura U19 or NK Triglav U19?

We calculate the win probability based on odds, head-to-head stats, and recent form. The available odds average to around 2.66 for a home win, 2.39 for a draw, and 3.10 for an away win. Removing the bookmaker margin, the implied probabilities are roughly 35% for NS Mura U19, 39% for the draw, and 30% for NK Triglav U19. However, the head-to-head record is a major adjustment factor: NK Triglav U19 has won all three previous meetings without conceding a goal. This historical dominance shifts the probability in their favor. We also factor in NK Triglav U19's slightly better away form compared to NS Mura U19's home inconsistency. After adjustments, the final probabilities are: NS Mura U19 win 30%, draw 22%, NK Triglav U19 win 48%. NK Triglav U19 is the more likely winner.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers offer odds of 2.70 for a NS Mura U19 win, 2.38 for the draw, and 3.00 for a NK Triglav U19 win in one market. Another bookmaker lists 2.62, 2.40, and 3.20 respectively. The odds suggest a close contest, but the head-to-head record tells a different story. Our NS Mura U19 vs NK Triglav U19 prediction is an away win for NK Triglav U19. The value may lie in backing the away side given their perfect record in this fixture. Based on the stats, a low-scoring game is also possible, with NK Triglav U19 keeping a clean sheet in all previous meetings.