Nueva Chicago - Deportivo Maipu prediction 05/10/2026

The Nueva Chicago vs Deportivo Maipu prediction for October 5, 2026, points to a tight Primera Nacional clash. The match kicks off at 17:00 local time, with Nueva Chicago entering as the slight favorite. Based on the latest stats and odds, Nueva Chicago has a 34% chance to win, while the draw sits at 38% and Deportivo Maipu holds a 28% probability.

Team Form

Nueva Chicago's last five matches show mixed results: two wins, one draw, and two losses. They beat Club Almagro (1-0 away) and Quilmes (1-0 at home), drew 1-1 with Patronato Parana, and lost to CA Colegiales (0-1) and CA Ferrocarril Midland (0-2). The home side has struggled for consistency, winning just two of those five.

Deportivo Maipu, on the other hand, has been hard to beat. Their recent form reads one win, three draws, and one loss. They defeated Temperley 1-0, drew with Gimnasia Jujuy (1-1), Club Almagro (2-2), and Patronato Parana (0-0), and lost 0-1 to CA Colegiales. The away team's ability to grind out draws makes them a tough opponent.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record heavily favors Deportivo Maipu. In four previous meetings, Deportivo Maipu won three times and Nueva Chicago won once, with no draws. The most recent clash on May 17, 2026, ended 1-0 to Deportivo Maipu. The last Nueva Chicago victory came on October 11, 2021, a 2-0 away win. Overall, Deportivo Maipu has outscored Nueva Chicago 4-3 in these encounters.

League Table Positions

Neither side appears in the top 12 of the Primera Nacional overall standings, suggesting both are in the lower half of the table. The available data does not list exact positions, but the gap to the top teams indicates a mid-to-lower table battle. Home and away form tables also do not feature either club, reinforcing their inconsistent campaigns.

Win Probability: Nueva Chicago or Deportivo Maipu?

After analyzing the odds, recent form, and head-to-head record, we calculate the win probabilities as follows: Nueva Chicago 34%, draw 38%, Deportivo Maipu 28%. The draw is the most probable single outcome, reflecting Deportivo Maipu's three draws in their last five and the overall tight nature of this fixture. Nueva Chicago's home advantage gives them a slight edge over the visitors, but Deportivo Maipu's strong H2H record (3 wins in 4) cannot be ignored. The numbers suggest a closely contested match where a stalemate is the likeliest result.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers offer the following 1X2 odds: Nueva Chicago win at 2.64, draw at 2.82, and Deportivo Maipu win at 3.50. These odds confirm Nueva Chicago as the favorite, but the draw price is very close, indicating uncertainty. Based on the stats, the safest betting tip is the draw, but a low-scoring affair is expected. Our Nueva Chicago vs Deportivo Maipu prediction: a 1-1 draw looks the most probable outcome, with both teams likely to find the net.