Viktoria Nikolaevka - Nyva Ternopil prediction 21/09/2026

Our Viktoria Nikolaevka vs Nyva Ternopil prediction looks at the Persha Liga match on Sep 21, 2026 at 08:00. Based on the stats, Viktoria Nikolaevka is the favorite with a 56% win probability. The draw sits at 24%, and Nyva Ternopil has a 20% chance to win.

Team Form

Viktoria Nikolaevka comes into this match with a mixed run of results: L, L, D, W, W in their last five games. They lost 1-0 to Oleksandria on Sep 14 and 1-0 to Metalist Kharkiv in the Cup on Sep 09. Before that, they drew 1-1 with Polissya Zhytomyr 2, beat Probiy Gorodenka 3-0, and won 3-1 at Podillya Khmelnitsky.

Nyva Ternopil's recent form is L, L, D, L, W. They lost 2-1 at home to Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk on Sep 13 and 1-0 at FC Chernihiv on Sep 05. A 1-1 draw at Metalist Kharkiv on Aug 30 stopped a run of defeats, but a heavy 4-0 Cup loss to Bukovyna Chernivtsi and a 2-1 win at Inhulets show a team struggling for consistency.

Head-to-Head Record

In the last four head-to-head meetings, Viktoria Nikolaevka has won twice, Nyva Ternopil once, and there has been one draw. The most recent match on Apr 03, 2026 saw Viktoria Nikolaevka win 1-0 at home. Nyva Ternopil's only win in this run was a 2-1 home victory on Sep 13, 2025. Viktoria Nikolaevka also won 3-0 at home on May 30, 2025, and the teams drew 0-0 on Apr 27, 2025. The H2H record clearly favors the home side.

League Table Positions

Viktoria Nikolaevka sits top of the Persha Liga overall table with 16 points from 7 matches (5 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss). They have scored 10 goals and conceded only 3. At home, they are unbeaten in 3 games with 7 points. Nyva Ternopil is not in the top 12 overall but appears 5th in the away standings with 6 points from 6 away matches, scoring 5 and conceding 6. The gap in quality and consistency is clear from the league positions.

Win Probability: Viktoria Nikolaevka or Nyva Ternopil?

We calculate the win probability based on the odds, team form, head-to-head record, and league table. The best available odds for this match are 1.77 for a Viktoria Nikolaevka win, 3.38 for a draw, and 5.00 for a Nyva Ternopil win. After removing the bookmaker margin, the implied chances are around 56% for the home win, 24% for the draw, and 20% for the away win. Viktoria Nikolaevka's strong home form, top position in the league, and dominant H2H record all support these numbers. Nyva Ternopil's poor recent results and low away scoring output make an upset unlikely. The question of who will win this match points firmly to Viktoria Nikolaevka.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers see Viktoria Nikolaevka as the clear favorite. The 1X2 odds range from 1.77 to 1.88 for the home win. The draw is priced between 2.00 and 3.38, and an away win for Nyva Ternopil is as high as 5.00. Based on the stats, our Viktoria Nikolaevka vs Nyva Ternopil prediction is a home win. The home side has the better form, a perfect home record this season, and a strong head-to-head advantage. A low-scoring match is likely, with Viktoria Nikolaevka keeping another clean sheet.