Kalamata - OFI Crete prediction 18/10/2026

Kalamata vs OFI Crete prediction for October 18, 2026. The Super League match kicks off at 10:00 at Kalamata Metropolitan Stadium. Based on the stats, OFI Crete is the favorite with a 48% win probability, while Kalamata has a 27% chance and the draw is at 25%.

Team Form

Kalamata comes into this match with mixed recent results. Their last five matches show one win, three draws and one loss. In the Super League, Kalamata lost 0-1 at home to Panathinaikos on Sep 20, drew 1-1 with Larissa in the Cup on Sep 17, and beat Volos NFC 3-1 on Sep 13. Away from home they drew 1-1 with Atromitos on Sep 6 and 2-2 with Volos NFC in the Cup on Sep 1.

OFI Crete has stronger recent form with three wins, one draw and one loss in their last five. They lost 3-0 away to AEK Athens on Oct 10, drew 2-2 at home with Asteras Tripolis on Sep 20, beat TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 2-0 in the UEFA Europa League on Sep 17, won 1-0 away at Olympiacos Piraeus on Sep 12, and beat Nestos Chrisoupolis 3-0 in the Cup on Sep 9.

Head-to-Head Record

There is no previous head-to-head record between Kalamata and OFI Crete in the available data. This will be the first meeting between the two teams in this dataset, so form and league position are the main indicators for this prediction.

League Table Positions

OFI Crete sits 6th in the Super League table with 10 points from 6 matches. They have 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 8 goals scored and 7 conceded. Kalamata is 11th with 4 points from 5 matches, having 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses, with 6 goals scored and 8 conceded.

At home, OFI Crete is strong with 7 points from 3 matches and a 2-1-0 record. Kalamata's home form is not listed in the top eight home teams, which suggests they have struggled at Kalamata Metropolitan Stadium this season. Away from home, OFI Crete has 3 points from 3 matches with 1 win and 2 losses.

Win Probability: Kalamata or OFI Crete?

Based on the odds, form and league table, OFI Crete has a 48% chance to win this match. The draw is at 25%, and Kalamata has a 27% chance. OFI Crete's better league position, stronger recent form and higher quality wins against Olympiacos Piraeus and TSG 1899 Hoffenheim give them the edge. Kalamata's home advantage helps, but their low table position and inconsistent results reduce their chances.

The bookmaker odds support this view. The best available home win odds for Kalamata are 2.45, the draw is around 2.05 to 3.10, and the away win for OFI Crete is around 3.20 to 3.30. After removing the bookmaker margin, the implied probabilities align with the calculated outcome: OFI Crete is the most likely winner, but the match is not one-sided.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers see this as a fairly open match. The home win odds for Kalamata range from 2.35 to 2.45. The draw odds range from 2.05 to 3.10. The away win odds for OFI Crete range from 3.20 to 3.30. The lower draw odds in some books suggest the market expects a tight contest.

Our Kalamata vs OFI Crete prediction is an away win for OFI Crete, but with caution. The 48% probability means OFI Crete is the favorite, yet the draw at 25% is a real possibility. Betting tips: the away win offers value at 3.30, while the draw at 3.10 is also worth considering for a safer option. Based on the stats, OFI Crete should edge this one, but Kalamata's home crowd could make it close.