Olympiacos Piraeus - OFI Crete prediction 12/09/2026

The Olympiacos Piraeus vs OFI Crete prediction for September 12, 2026 points to a clear favorite. In this Super League match at Karaiskakis Stadium, Olympiacos Piraeus has a 78% chance to win, the draw sits at 15%, and OFI Crete has a 7% chance. The odds and head-to-head record back this up strongly.

Team Form

Olympiacos Piraeus comes into this match unbeaten in their last five games with three wins and two draws. Their recent results include a 1-1 draw at Volos NFC, a 4-0 cup win at Larissa, and a 1-0 win at Asteras Tripolis. They also beat Atromitos 1-0 at home and drew 1-1 at NEC Nijmegen in Champions League qualification. The team looks solid at the back, conceding just two goals in those five matches.

OFI Crete has two wins, one draw, and two losses in their last five. They drew 0-0 at PAOK Thessaloniki in the cup, lost 2-1 at Aris Thessaloniki, and beat Volos NFC 2-0 at home. Before that, they lost two friendlies against Willem II and NAC Breda. Their away form is a concern, with two losses and a draw in the last three competitive road games.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head numbers are one-sided. In the last 24 meetings, Olympiacos Piraeus has 22 wins, OFI Crete has 2 wins, and there have been zero draws. The last five matches all went to Olympiacos Piraeus, with scores of 3-0, 3-0, 2-0, 1-0, and 2-0. OFI Crete has not scored a single goal in those five games. The most recent meeting was on March 14, 2026, when Olympiacos Piraeus won 3-0 away.

League Table Positions

After three matchdays, Olympiacos Piraeus sits 3rd in the Super League with 7 points (2 wins, 1 draw, 0 losses). They have scored 3 goals and conceded only 1. OFI Crete is 6th with 6 points (2 wins, 0 draws, 1 loss), scoring 5 and conceding 2. At home, Olympiacos Piraeus has a perfect record with 1 win from 1 game. On the road, OFI Crete has 0 points from 1 away match, with 1 goal scored and 2 conceded.

Win Probability: Olympiacos Piraeus or OFI Crete?

Based on the odds, form, head-to-head record, and league positions, Olympiacos Piraeus has a 78% win probability. The draw is at 15%, and OFI Crete has a 7% chance. The odds imply an even higher probability for the home side, but we adjusted slightly for the small sample of league games this season. The head-to-head dominance - 22 wins in 24 games and no draws - makes an away win very unlikely. OFI Crete's poor away form and the fact they have not scored against Olympiacos Piraeus in five straight matches reinforce the favorite's position.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers see Olympiacos Piraeus as the strong favorite. The best available odds are 1.23 for a home win, 2.98 for the draw, and 8.50 for an OFI Crete win. These odds translate to an implied probability of around 81% for Olympiacos Piraeus. Our Olympiacos Piraeus vs OFI Crete prediction is a home win, likely with a clean sheet. The stats point to a low-scoring game - under 2.5 total goals looks like a solid betting tip based on Olympiacos Piraeus's tight defense and the H2H history.