Novaci - Ohrid Lihnidos prediction 09/09/2026

The Novaci vs Ohrid Lihnidos prediction for September 9, 2026, points to a clear favorite in this North Macedonia Cup match. Based on recent form, head-to-head results, and bookmaker odds, Ohrid Lihnidos has a 68% chance to win, the draw sits at 21%, and Novaci has an 11% probability of victory.

Team Form

Novaci come into this cup tie with inconsistent results. Their last five matches show two wins and three losses (L, W, L, W, L). The most recent outing was a 0-1 home defeat to FK Belasica Strumica on August 22. Before that, they managed a 2-1 away win at Golemo Konjari and a 2-0 home victory over FK Prespa Resen, but also suffered losses to Ohrid Lihnidos (0-3) and Teteks (1-2).

Ohrid Lihnidos are in much stronger form. Their last five matches produced three wins, one draw, and one loss (W, W, W, L, D). They started the new season with a 3-0 away win at Teteks on September 5 and a 5-1 home thrashing of FK Kozuf Gevgelija on August 30. The only recent blemish was a 0-1 cup loss at Sileks Kratovo back in May.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record heavily favors Ohrid Lihnidos. The two teams have met twice, both in the North Macedonia 2nd League, and Ohrid Lihnidos won both matches. On April 4, 2026, Ohrid Lihnidos beat Novaci 3-0 at home. Earlier, on October 11, 2025, Ohrid Lihnidos won 1-0 away at Novaci. Novaci have yet to score a single goal against this opponent.

League Table Positions

Both clubs compete in the North Macedonia 2nd League, but the JSON data does not include current league table positions or points. What we can see from the match history is that Ohrid Lihnidos have been the dominant side in their direct meetings, and their recent scoring form - 15 goals in the last five matches - suggests they are operating at a higher level than Novaci right now.

Win Probability: Novaci or Ohrid Lihnidos?

We calculate the win probability for this Novaci vs Ohrid Lihnidos match based on odds, form, and H2H data. The average bookmaker odds imply a raw probability that we adjust for the margin. Ohrid Lihnidos are priced around 1.62 to 1.91 across bookmakers, which translates to a strong favorite status. After normalizing the inverse odds and factoring in the 2-0 head-to-head record and Novaci's shaky form, we arrive at these percentages: Ohrid Lihnidos win 68%, draw 21%, Novaci win 11%. The numbers show Ohrid Lihnidos are the team more likely to win this cup tie.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers see Ohrid Lihnidos as the clear favorite. The best available odds for an away win are around 1.91, while a home win for Novaci can be backed at odds as high as 11.00. The draw is priced between 2.45 and 5.17. These betting tips reflect the gap between the two sides. Based on the stats, the Novaci vs Ohrid Lihnidos prediction is an away victory, with Ohrid Lihnidos likely to keep a clean sheet given Novaci's failure to score in both previous H2H meetings.