Northampton Town - Oldham Athletic prediction 03/10/2026

Northampton Town vs Oldham Athletic prediction for the League 2 match on October 3, 2026, at 11:00. Based on recent form, head-to-head record, and home advantage, Northampton Town is the favorite with a 50% win probability. Oldham Athletic has only a 22% chance of an away victory, while the draw sits at 28%.

Team Form

Northampton Town comes into this match with mixed results. In their last five games, they recorded one win, two draws, and two losses. The most recent outings were a 0-1 home defeat against Rotherham United and a 0-2 loss at Shrewsbury Town. Before that, they beat Newport County 1-0 and drew 1-1 with both Crawley Town and Gillingham. The team has struggled to score consistently, netting only three goals in those five matches.

Oldham Athletic is in poor form, especially away from home. They have lost four straight League 2 matches on the road, conceding 10 goals in those games. Their last league result was a heavy 1-4 home loss to Salford City. The only recent win came in the EFL Trophy against Fleetwood Town (1-0), but in the league they have been beaten by Rochdale (0-2), Chesterfield (1-2), and Tranmere Rovers (0-2). Defensive issues are a major concern for Oldham.

Head-to-Head Record

The overall head-to-head record between these teams shows 7 wins for Northampton Town, 5 for Oldham Athletic, and 6 draws. In the most recent League 2 meetings, Northampton Town has the upper hand. They won 2-0 away in April 2022 and 2-1 at home in November 2021. The last encounter was an FA Cup tie in November 2025, where Oldham Athletic won 3-1 at home. However, that result came in a different competition and with Oldham hosting.

League Table Positions

Neither team appears in the top 12 of the League 2 standings, indicating both are in the lower half of the table. Northampton Town has been slightly more consistent at home, while Oldham Athletic has one of the worst away records in the division. The lack of a top-half position for either side makes this a battle between two struggling teams, but Northampton's home form gives them a clear edge.

Win Probability: Northampton Town or Oldham Athletic?

After analyzing the available data, we calculate the win probabilities as follows: Northampton Town win – 50%, draw – 28%, Oldham Athletic win – 22%. This assessment is based on Northampton's home advantage, Oldham's terrible away run of four straight league defeats, and the recent head-to-head record in League 2. Northampton Town has taken points from three of their last five matches, while Oldham has lost four of their last five league games. The numbers strongly point to a home win as the most likely outcome.

Odds & Match Prediction

Odds for this match are not yet available from bookmakers. When they appear, Northampton Town is expected to be priced as the favorite, with Oldham Athletic as the underdog. Based on the stats, our Northampton Town vs Oldham Athletic prediction is a home win. The betting tip is to back Northampton Town to take all three points, given their superior form and Oldham's defensive problems on the road.