Castellanzese 1921 - OltrepoVoghera prediction 16/09/2026

A Serie D match between Castellanzese 1921 and OltrepoVoghera takes place on September 16, 2026, at 13:00. Our Castellanzese 1921 vs OltrepoVoghera prediction points to a very balanced game, with a draw rated as the most likely outcome at 38%. OltrepoVoghera has a slight edge in the win market at 32%, leaving Castellanzese 1921 with a 30% chance. The head-to-head record and recent form back up this tight forecast.

Team Form

Castellanzese 1921 come into this match with a mixed spell: L, W, D, L, D across their last five games. They lost 1-0 away at Lentigione and 2-1 at home to ASD Varesina Calcio, but did beat Pontedera 3-1 at home. The two draws (0-0 at Club Milano Ssd and 1-1 at Virtus Bergamo Alzano Ciserano) show they can be hard to break down.

OltrepoVoghera’s recent results read D, L, W, D, W. They began the current run with a 1-0 home win over Real Calepina, then drew 1-1 at Folgore Caratese, won 3-1 at ASD Villa D'Alme, lost 2-1 at Pro Patria and drew 1-1 at home with Pavia. That away win at Villa D'Alme stands out, and the overall picture is of a side that rarely loses without a fight.

Head-to-Head Record

These teams have met just twice in Serie D, and OltrepoVoghera hold the advantage. On January 25, 2026, OltrepoVoghera won 2-0 at home. Earlier, on September 24, 2025, Castellanzese 1921 drew 2-2 at home. So far, Castellanzese 1921 have never beaten OltrepoVoghera, with one draw and one away win for the visitors.

League Table Positions

Neither Castellanzese 1921 nor OltrepoVoghera are listed in the available Serie D standings for the new season. The table is led by Alessandria, Biellese and AC Saluzzo. This suggests both sides may still be settling into their campaigns outside the top spots.

Win Probability: Castellanzese 1921 or OltrepoVoghera?

The numbers from bookmakers and team stats give a clear picture. After removing the market margin and adjusting for head-to-head and recent form, we see the following win probabilities: Castellanzese 1921 30%, draw 38%, OltrepoVoghera 32%. The draw is the single most probable result, but the win chances are almost evenly split. OltrepoVoghera’s unbeaten H2H record and slightly better form tilt the balance in their favor by a narrow 2% margin.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers’ odds for the 1X2 market vary. The best prices spotted: a home win for Castellanzese 1921 at 3.00, a draw at 2.05 and an away win for OltrepoVoghera at 3.60. However, one set of odds offers a much shorter home price of 2.25, with the draw at 3.05 and the away win at 2.85. The consensus among bookmakers sees the draw as the favorite outcome, which matches our probability model.

Taking everything into account - form, head-to-head, and odds - our final Castellanzese 1921 vs OltrepoVoghera prediction is a low-scoring draw. OltrepoVoghera are the narrow win favorite if a result must be picked, but the draw has the highest percentage chance. For betting tips, backing the draw looks the safest option, while a small-stake play on OltrepoVoghera to win could offer value at odds around 3.60.