Orebro SK - Ostersunds FK prediction 07/09/2026

The Orebro SK vs Ostersunds FK prediction for September 7, 2026, points to a tight Superettan contest where Ostersunds FK holds a slight edge. The match kicks off at 17:05, and based on the latest odds, league table positions, and recent form, Ostersunds FK has a 42% win probability, Orebro SK sits at 33%, and the draw is at 25%.

Team Form

Orebro SK comes into this match with mixed results in their last five outings: D, W, W, D, L. They drew 1-1 away at Helsingborg on Sep 01 and beat Varbergs BoIS 2-1 at home on Aug 25. A 4-1 cup win at Sollentuna United FF showed their attacking threat, but a 3-1 loss at Norrby IF on Aug 10 exposed some defensive issues. Ostersunds FK's recent form reads D, D, W, D, W. They drew 1-1 at Landskrona BoIS on Aug 29 and played a 0-0 home draw with Ljungskile on Aug 24. A 2-1 cup win at Arlanda and a 1-0 home victory over GIF Sundsvall highlight their ability to grind out results.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record between these two sides favors Orebro SK with 13 wins to Ostersunds FK's 8, alongside 4 draws. The most recent meeting was on May 31, 2026, when Ostersunds FK won 3-2 at home. Before that, Orebro SK claimed a 2-0 home win on Sep 13, 2025. The last three Superettan clashes have seen both teams score, and the overall H2H suggests a competitive rivalry with goals often on the cards.

League Table Positions

In the Superettan overall standings, Ostersunds FK sits 4th with 35 points from 21 matches (9 wins, 8 draws, 4 losses). Orebro SK is not in the top 12 displayed, indicating a lower position. Ostersunds FK's home form is strong - 6 wins, 3 draws, and just 1 loss in 10 games - but this match is at Orebro SK's ground. Away from home, Ostersunds FK has 3 wins, 5 draws, and 3 losses in 11 matches, showing they are tough to beat on the road.

Win Probability: Orebro SK or Ostersunds FK?

After analyzing the odds, form, and standings, the win probability for this match is: Orebro SK 33%, draw 25%, Ostersunds FK 42%. The bookmakers' average odds (home 2.63, draw 2.43, away 2.73) were used as a base, then adjusted for Ostersunds FK's superior league position and more consistent recent form. Orebro SK's home advantage and historical H2H edge keep them in the contest, but Ostersunds FK's ability to avoid defeat on the road gives them the highest chance. The conclusion: Ostersunds FK is the more likely winner, but a draw is a real possibility.

Odds & Match Prediction

The latest Orebro SK vs Ostersunds FK odds show a tight market. One bookmaker offers 2.85 for a home win, 3.56 for the draw, and 2.52 for an away win. Another lists 2.50, 2.20, and 2.90. The variation reflects the balanced nature of this fixture. Based on the stats, the smart Orebro SK vs Ostersunds FK prediction is a low-scoring affair with Ostersunds FK to avoid defeat. The draw no bet on the away side or under 2.5 total goals are worth considering for your betting tips.