Osasuna - Espanyol prediction 12/09/2026

Osasuna vs Espanyol prediction for the Primera match on Sep 12 at 14:15 at El Sadar Stadium. Based on the stats, Osasuna is the favorite with a 48% win probability, while Espanyol has a 25% chance and the draw sits at 27%. This betting tips guide covers team form, head-to-head record, and the latest odds.

Team Form

Osasuna comes into this match with a mixed run. Their last five results are W, W, D, L, L. In their most recent Primera game, they beat Getafe 1-0 at home on Aug 31. Before that, they won 2-1 away at Celta Vigo. At El Sadar Stadium, Osasuna is unbeaten in the league this season with a win and a draw, keeping two clean sheets.

Espanyol's recent form is L, L, W, L, D. They lost 2-1 away to Real Sociedad on Aug 29 and fell 2-1 at home to Real Madrid on Aug 22. Their only win in the last five came against Levante UD, a 3-0 home victory. Away from home, Espanyol has struggled, losing two of their last three league trips.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record between these two sides favors Osasuna. In the last 16 meetings, Osasuna has 9 wins, Espanyol has 3, and 4 matches ended in a draw. The most recent clash was on May 17, 2026, when Espanyol won 2-1 at Osasuna. Before that, Espanyol also won 1-0 at home on Aug 31, 2025. Osasuna's last win in this fixture was a 2-0 home victory on May 18, 2025.

League Table Positions

Osasuna sits 7th in the Primera overall standings with 7 points from 4 matches (2 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss). They have scored 5 goals and conceded 6. At home, they are also 7th with 4 points from 2 games, scoring 1 and conceding 0. Espanyol is not in the top 12 of the overall table, which suggests a lower position. The league table shows Osasuna has a clear advantage in points and defensive stability, especially at El Sadar Stadium.

Win Probability: Osasuna or Espanyol?

Who will win this match? Our win probability calculation gives Osasuna a 48% chance, the draw a 27% chance, and Espanyol a 25% chance. This is based on the odds, where Osasuna is priced around 1.91 to 2.12, implying a 47-50% chance. We adjusted slightly for Osasuna's strong home form and Espanyol's poor away results. The head-to-head record and league table positions also support Osasuna as the more likely winner.

Odds & Match Prediction

The bookmakers' odds for this match show Osasuna as the favorite. The best home win odds are around 1.91, the draw is priced at 2.10 to 3.50, and an Espanyol away win is as high as 4.20. These odds reflect the home advantage and the gap in the league table. Our Osasuna vs Espanyol prediction is a home win, but the draw is a real possibility given the recent H2H results. For betting tips, the under 2.5 goals market could be worth a look, as Osasuna's home games have been tight.