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Palmeiras SP - Sao Paulo SP prediction 12/09/2026

Brazil · Serie A·

Match info

Competição
Serie A · Brazil
Início

Forma recente

últimos 5 jogos
Palmeiras SP

Palmeiras SPFluminense RJ01DCopa Libertadores

Atletico Paranaense PRPalmeiras SP02VSerie A

Fluminense RJPalmeiras SP12VCopa Libertadores

Palmeiras SPCorinthians SP41VSerie A

Palmeiras SPBahia BA10VSerie A
Sao Paulo SP

Sao Paulo SPVasco da Gama RJ10VSerie A

Sao Paulo SPVitoria BA21VSerie A

Cruzeiro MGSao Paulo SP20DSerie A

Sao Paulo SPSantos SP12DSerie A

Sao Paulo SPInternacional RS10VSerie A

Escalações

confirmada
Palmeiras SP · Formação 3-4-2-1 · jogadores por posição
26Murilo
1Miguel
3Fuchs
11Arias
30Evangelista
15Gómez
42López
4Giay
9Roque
22Piquerez
8Pereira

Palmeiras SP

Titulares
  • 26MuriloBrazilD
  • 1Carlos MiguelBrazilG
  • 3Bruno FuchsBrazilD
  • 11J. AriasColombiaM
  • 30Lucas EvangelistaBrazilM
  • 15G. GómezParaguayD
  • 42J. LópezArgentinaM
  • 4A. GiayArgentinaM
  • 9Vitor RoqueBrazilF
  • 22J. PiquerezUruguayM
  • 8Andreas PereiraBrazilM
Reservas
  • 12KhellvenBrazilD
  • 14Marcelo LombaBrazilG
  • 32E. MartínezUruguayM
  • 7Felipe AndersonBrazilM
  • 43BenedettiBrazilD
  • 56ArthurBrazilD
  • 45Erick MachadoBrazilM
  • 50Luis FelipeM
  • 48LarsonM
  • 39HeittorF
  • 29M. C. BilongF

Sao Paulo SP

Titulares
  • 11FerreiraBrazilM
  • 80CaulyBrazilM
  • 28NewtonBrazilD
  • 2R. TolóiItalyD
  • 29Pablo MaiaBrazilM
  • 17André SilvaBrazilF
  • 31Carlos CoronelParaguayG
  • 48D. FerreiraM
  • 54Osorio LuisD
  • 27Victor SáBrazilM
  • 18WendellBrazilD
Reservas
  • 37ArturBrazilF
  • 23RafaelBrazilG
  • 12IagoBrazilD
  • 5R. ArboledaEcuadorD
  • 53IsacBrazilD
  • 9J. CalleriArgentinaF
  • 46Pedro FerreiraBrazilM
  • 43G. SantanaF
  • 8Marcos AntônioBrazilM
  • 94DanielzinhoBrazilM
  • 19Lucas RamonBrazilD

Confronto direto

50 confrontos
Palmeiras SP 30Empates 911 Sao Paulo SP

Palmeiras SPSao Paulo SP20Serie A

Sao Paulo SPPalmeiras SP01Serie A

Palmeiras SPSao Paulo SP21Campeonato Paulista

Palmeiras SPSao Paulo SP31Campeonato Paulista

Sao Paulo SPPalmeiras SP23Serie A

Palmeiras SPSao Paulo SP10Serie A

Palmeiras SPSao Paulo SP10Campeonato Paulista

Palmeiras SPSao Paulo SP00Campeonato Paulista

Sao Paulo SPPalmeiras SP11Campeonato Paulista

Palmeiras SPSao Paulo SP50Serie A

Serie A 2026 · classificação

#TimeJVEDGPts
1Flamengo RJ31207461:2567
2Palmeiras SP31199354:2266
3Atletico Paranaense PR31158849:3753
4Cruzeiro MG311561050:4651
5Fluminense31149849:3951
6Atletico Mineiro MG31148942:3550
7Bahia BA311310844:3949
8Santos311291048:4645
9Sao Paulo SP311261336:3542
10Red Bull Bragantino SP311181239:3641
11Botafogo RJ311091244:4839
12Coritiba PR311091238:4939
13Vitoria BA311071434:4537
14Mirassol SP31991336:4436
15Vasco DA Gama30981336:4335
16Corinthians SP31891432:3933
17Internacional RS317111333:4032
18Gremio RS317101434:4431
19Remo PA315111534:4926
20Chapecoense-sc30391830:6218

Our Palmeiras SP vs Sao Paulo SP prediction for the Serie A match on Sep 12, 2026, at 21:30 points to a home win. Based on the stats, Palmeiras SP has a 55% chance of winning, the draw is at 25%, and Sao Paulo SP has a 20% chance. The game will be played at Allianz Parque in São Paulo.

Team Form

Palmeiras SP comes into this match with a mixed run of results. Their last five games show two wins and three draws. They beat Santos SP 3-0 and Vasco da Gama RJ 4-1 at home, showing strong attacking form. Away from home, they drew 0-0 with Botafogo RJ, 0-0 with Santos SP in the Cup, and 1-1 with Mirassol SP.

Sao Paulo SP has three wins, one draw, and one loss in their last five matches. They won their last two home games against Atletico Mineiro MG (2-0) and Red Bull Bragantino SP (2-1). Before that, they lost 1-0 away to Chapecoense SC. Their form is decent, but they have been less consistent on the road.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record heavily favors Palmeiras SP. In 49 meetings, Palmeiras SP has 29 wins, Sao Paulo SP has 11, and 9 matches ended in a draw. The last five matches tell the same story. Palmeiras SP won four of them, including a 1-0 away win in Serie A on Mar 22, 2026, and a 3-1 home win in the Campeonato Paulista on Jan 24, 2026. Sao Paulo SP's last win in this fixture was not in the recent data provided.

League Table Positions

Palmeiras SP sits 2nd in the Serie A table with 53 points from 26 matches. They have 15 wins, 8 draws, and only 3 losses. At home, they are 4th with 27 points from 12 games, scoring 21 and conceding just 9. Sao Paulo SP is 10th with 33 points from 25 matches. Their away form is not in the top 8 of the league table. The gap in points and positions shows Palmeiras SP as the stronger side this season.

Win Probability: Palmeiras SP or Sao Paulo SP?

The win probability for this match is calculated from the odds, team form, head-to-head record, and league table positions. The average home win odds are around 1.66, the draw is 2.19, and the away win is 4.77. After removing the bookmaker margin, the implied chances are roughly 55% for a Palmeiras SP win, 25% for a draw, and 20% for a Sao Paulo SP win. Palmeiras SP's strong home record and dominant H2H history support these numbers. Sao Paulo SP's away form is not strong enough to shift the balance. So, Palmeiras SP is the clear favorite to win.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers see Palmeiras SP as the favorite. The best home win odds are around 1.68, the draw is at 2.20, and an away win for Sao Paulo SP is priced as high as 4.95. These betting tips are based on the stats: Palmeiras SP's home strength, their recent H2H dominance, and the league table gap make the home win the most likely outcome. A draw is a possible but less probable result. Our Palmeiras SP vs Sao Paulo SP prediction is a home victory.

Palmeiras SP vs Sao Paulo SP – FAQ

Who will win Palmeiras SP vs Sao Paulo SP?
Palmeiras SP is the favorite to win. The calculated probabilities are 55% for a Palmeiras SP win, 25% for a draw, and 20% for a Sao Paulo SP win. This is based on the odds, current form, and head-to-head record.
What is the win probability for Palmeiras SP?
Palmeiras SP has a 55% chance to win this match. This is driven by their strong home form, 2nd place in the Serie A table, and a dominant head-to-head record with 29 wins in 49 meetings.
When is the Palmeiras SP vs Sao Paulo SP match?
The match is on Sep 12, 2026, at 21:30 local time. It is a Serie A fixture and will be played at Allianz Parque in São Paulo.
What are the odds for Palmeiras SP vs Sao Paulo SP?
The available odds show a home win for Palmeiras SP around 1.68, a draw at 2.20, and an away win for Sao Paulo SP around 4.60 to 4.95. These odds confirm Palmeiras SP as the clear favorite.