Palmeiras SP Women - Bahia BA Women prediction 04/09/2026

Palmeiras SP Women vs Bahia BA Women prediction for Sep 05, 2026, in the Campeonato Brasileiro A1 Women. Palmeiras SP Women is the favorite with a 55% win probability, while Bahia BA Women has a 20% chance and the draw is at 25%.

Team Form

Palmeiras SP Women is unbeaten in the last five matches, with three wins and two draws. The most recent results: a 1-1 draw away at Bahia BA Women on Sep 01, a 4-1 home win over Red Bull Bragantino SP Women on Aug 26, a 0-0 draw at Cruzeiro MG Women on Aug 22, a 3-0 home win against Juventude RS Women on Aug 16, and a 1-0 away win at Taubate SP Women on Aug 11. The team has scored 9 goals and conceded only 2 in those five games.

Bahia BA Women comes into this match with one win, three draws and one loss in the last five outings. They drew 1-1 at home to Palmeiras SP Women on Sep 01, drew 2-2 at Juventude RS Women on Aug 22, drew 1-1 at home to Corinthians SP Women on Aug 15, won 3-0 at Atletico Mineiro MG Women on Aug 08, and lost 1-0 at Ferroviaria SP Women on Aug 02. The team has scored 7 goals and conceded 5 over that period.

Head-to-Head Record

In the last four meetings between Palmeiras SP Women and Bahia BA Women, Palmeiras SP Women has won twice and the other two ended in draws. Bahia BA Women has never beaten Palmeiras SP Women. The most recent clash was on Sep 01, 2026, when they drew 1-1 at Bahia BA Women's home. Before that, on May 02, 2026, they played a 0-0 draw, also at Bahia. At Palmeiras SP Women's home, the hosts won 3-1 on Apr 20, 2025, and 3-0 on Mar 17, 2023, in the Campeonato Paulista Women.

League Table Positions

Palmeiras SP Women sits 3rd in the Campeonato Brasileiro A1 Women with 36 points from 17 matches (10 wins, 6 draws, 1 loss). They have scored 32 goals and conceded only 11. At home, they are even stronger: 2nd in the home table with 7 wins and 2 draws, no defeats, and a goal difference of 26-5.

Bahia BA Women is 6th with 29 points (8 wins, 5 draws, 4 losses), having scored 30 and conceded 21. Away from home, they rank 7th with 3 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses, scoring 15 and conceding 11. The seven-point gap and the home/away records clearly favor Palmeiras SP Women.

Win Probability: Palmeiras SP Women or Bahia BA Women?

Based on the odds, team form, head-to-head record and league standings, Palmeiras SP Women has a 55% chance of winning this match. The draw is estimated at 25%, and Bahia BA Women has a 20% chance. Bookmaker odds give Palmeiras SP Women a raw probability around 50% after removing the margin, but the team's unbeaten home record (7W 2D) and the head-to-head dominance (2 wins and 2 draws in 4 meetings) push the probability higher. Bahia BA Women's recent form (D-D-D-W-L) and away record make a win unlikely, but they have drawn three of their last five, so the draw remains a real possibility.

Odds & Match Prediction

The best available odds for a Palmeiras SP Women home win are around 1.83, with other bookmakers offering 1.70-1.72. The draw is priced between 2.50 and 2.60, while a Bahia BA Women away win goes as high as 8.00. Bookmakers see Palmeiras SP Women as the clear favorite, and our Palmeiras SP Women vs Bahia BA Women prediction aligns with that view. Considering the stats, the safest betting tip is a home win, but the recent 1-1 draw between these sides on Sep 01 shows a low-scoring contest is possible. With Palmeiras SP Women's solid defense (only 5 goals conceded at home all season), a bet on under 2.5 total goals also deserves attention.