Atromitos - PAOK Thessaloniki prediction 16/09/2026

Our Atromitos vs PAOK Thessaloniki prediction looks at the Cup match on Sep 16 at 17:00. Based on the stats, PAOK Thessaloniki is the favorite with a 52% win probability, while Atromitos has a 22% chance and the draw sits at 26%.

Team Form

Atromitos comes into this match with a mixed run. Their last five results are D, D, W, L, L. They drew 1-1 with Iraklis 1908 on Sep 12 and 1-1 with Kalamata on Sep 06. A 1-0 win against Panserraikos in the Cup on Sep 02 was a positive, but losses to PAOK Thessaloniki (1-2) and Olympiacos Piraeus (0-1) show some struggles.

PAOK Thessaloniki's recent form is W, L, D, W, L. They beat Aris Thessaloniki 2-0 on Sep 13, but lost 3-1 to Panathinaikos on Sep 06. A 0-0 draw with OFI Crete in the Cup and a 2-1 win over Atromitos in the league are part of the picture. The loss to Brann (3-2) in Europe was a setback.

Head-to-Head Record

In the head-to-head record, PAOK Thessaloniki dominates with 22 wins. Atromitos has 6 wins, and there have been 6 draws. The last meeting was on Aug 30, 2026, where PAOK Thessaloniki won 2-1 away. Before that, they drew 1-1 in the Cup on Jan 06, 2026. Atromitos did win 2-0 at home in Dec 2025, but PAOK Thessaloniki won the other two recent matches 1-0 and 3-0.

League Table Positions

This is a Cup match, so league table positions are not the main factor. However, recent league form shows PAOK Thessaloniki as the stronger side overall. Atromitos has been inconsistent, while PAOK Thessaloniki has picked up key wins in the Super League.

Win Probability: Atromitos or PAOK Thessaloniki?

We calculate the win probability based on odds, form, and head-to-head stats. The bookmakers' average odds imply PAOK Thessaloniki has a higher chance. After removing the margin, PAOK Thessaloniki's win probability is 52%, the draw is 26%, and Atromitos has a 22% chance. The away team's strong H2H record and better recent quality give them the edge.

Odds & Match Prediction

The odds for this match show PAOK Thessaloniki as the clear favorite. The best available away win odds are around 1.95, while a home win for Atromitos is priced as high as 6.00. The draw odds are around 2.25. Based on the stats, our Atromitos vs PAOK Thessaloniki prediction is an away win, but the draw is a real possibility given Atromitos's two recent stalemates.