EC Passo Fundo RS - Gramadense RS prediction 09/09/2026

EC Passo Fundo RS vs Gramadense RS prediction for the Campeonato Gaucho. Serie A2 match on Sep 09 at 22:30. Based on the stats, EC Passo Fundo RS is the favorite with a 48% win probability. Who will win this one? Let's look at the form, head-to-head record, and league table to find the best betting tips.

Team Form

EC Passo Fundo RS comes into this match with mixed recent results. Their last five games show one win, three draws, and one loss (W-D-D-D-L). The most recent match was a 0-1 home loss against SERC Brasil de Farroupilha RS on Sep 06. Before that, they had a run of three straight draws, including a 3-3 away result at Pelotas RS. The only win in this stretch was a 2-0 home victory over Santa Cruz RS on Aug 19.

Gramadense RS has a similar pattern in their last five outings, with zero wins, three draws, and two losses (D-L-D-D-L). They drew 2-2 at home against EC Guarani RS on Sep 05. Their away form shows a 2-0 loss at Aimore RS on Sep 01. Goals have been hard to come by for Gramadense RS lately, with just one goal scored in their last three away matches.

Head-to-Head Record

There is only one previous head-to-head match between these two teams. It was played on May 18, 2025, in the same competition, Campeonato Gaucho. Serie A2. Gramadense RS hosted EC Passo Fundo RS, and the game ended in a 0-0 draw. So the H2H record stands at 0 wins for EC Passo Fundo RS, 1 draw, and 0 wins for Gramadense RS. Not much to separate them based on history.

League Table Positions

Looking at the overall Campeonato Gaucho. Serie A2 standings, EC Passo Fundo RS sits in 3rd place with 27 points from 14 matches (7 wins, 6 draws, 1 loss). They have scored 20 goals and conceded 12. Gramadense RS is in 5th place with 24 points (6 wins, 6 draws, 2 losses), scoring 13 and conceding 9.

At home, EC Passo Fundo RS is strong - 4th in the home table with 15 points from 7 games, unbeaten (4 wins, 3 draws). Gramadense RS away form is actually quite good: they rank 2nd in the away table with 13 points from 7 away matches (4 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses). This sets up an interesting clash between a solid home side and a team that travels well.

Win Probability: EC Passo Fundo RS or Gramadense RS?

Based on the available odds, form, and league positions, we calculate the win probability for this match. The bookmakers' average odds imply a tight contest. After removing the margin and adjusting for home advantage and recent results, EC Passo Fundo RS has a 48% chance of winning, the draw is at 32%, and Gramadense RS has a 20% chance. The home team's unbeaten home record and higher league position give them the edge, but Gramadense RS's strong away stats and the drawn H2H keep the draw probability high.

Odds & Match Prediction

The odds for this EC Passo Fundo RS vs Gramadense RS match show the home side as the favorite. The 1X2 odds from different bookmakers range around 2.35 - 2.40 for a home win, 1.85 - 1.95 for the draw, and 5.00 - 5.75 for an away win. The low draw odds reflect how close this game is expected to be. Our EC Passo Fundo RS vs Gramadense RS prediction: based on the stats, the most likely outcome is a home win, but a draw is a very real possibility. For betting tips, the home win or draw double chance looks the safest option.