Tristan Suarez - Patronato Parana prediction 17/10/2026

Tristan Suarez vs Patronato Parana prediction for the Primera Nacional match on Oct 17, 2026 at 15:00. Tristan Suarez has a 35% chance to win, the draw is at 45%, and Patronato Parana has 20%. This betting tips page covers team form, head-to-head record, league table positions, and win probability.

Team Form

Tristan Suarez Form

Tristan Suarez last five matches: D, D, W, D, D. They drew 0-0 with CA Colegiales, drew 0-0 with Quilmes, won 1-0 away at CA Ferrocarril Midland, drew 0-0 with CA Atlanta, and drew 0-0 with San Martin De San Juan. Four draws in five games show a very solid defence but low scoring. In 33 league matches, Tristan Suarez scored 32 goals and conceded only 15, which explains the many draws.

Patronato Parana Form

Patronato Parana last five matches: W, L, W, D, D. They beat Club Atletico Guemes 2-0, lost 0-1 to Chacarita Juniors, beat San Martin De San Juan 3-0, drew 1-1 with Nueva Chicago, and drew 0-0 with Temperley. Patronato Parana scored 6 goals and conceded 2 in those five games, so their form is decent but not as consistent as Tristan Suarez.

Head-to-Head Record

In the last 4 meetings, Patronato Parana won 2, Tristan Suarez won 1, and 1 draw. The most recent head-to-head match on May 31, 2026 ended 1-1. Patronato Parana also won 2-0 on Jul 6, 2025 and 1-0 on Feb 17, 2024. Tristan Suarez won 2-0 on Mar 1, 2025. Patronato Parana has a slight edge in the head-to-head record.

League Table Positions

Tristan Suarez sits 2nd in the Primera Nacional overall table with 59 points from 33 matches: 15 wins, 14 draws, 4 losses, 32 goals for and 15 against. Patronato Parana is not in the top 12 from the available standings data, which means they are lower in the table. The league position clearly favours Tristan Suarez for this match.

Win Probability: Tristan Suarez or Patronato Parana?

Based on bookmaker odds and current form, Tristan Suarez has a 35% win probability, the draw is at 45%, and Patronato Parana has 20%. The bookmakers see the draw as the most likely single outcome. Home win odds range from 2.40 to 2.62, draw odds from 1.82 to 1.91, and away win odds from 5.00 to 6.00. Tristan Suarez has the better league position, a strong defence, and home advantage, but they draw too many matches. Patronato Parana has the head-to-head edge but sits lower in the table and has fewer wins in recent form.

Conclusion: Tristan Suarez is more likely to win than Patronato Parana, but the draw has the highest probability among the three outcomes. The high number of draws for both teams supports this.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers list the following odds for the match:

• Tristan Suarez home win: 2.40 - 2.62
• Draw: 1.82 - 1.91
• Patronato Parana away win: 5.00 - 6.00

The low draw odds reflect the high number of draws in both teams' recent form. Based on the stats, the final prediction is a draw. If you prefer a team to win, Tristan Suarez is the better choice with a 35% chance, while Patronato Parana has only 20%.