Pelotas RS - Aimore RS prediction 09/09/2026

Our Pelotas RS vs Aimore RS prediction for the Campeonato Gaucho. Serie A2 match on Sep 09, 2026, points to a tight contest. Based on the stats, Aimore RS is the favorite with a 48% win probability, while Pelotas RS has a 27% chance and the draw sits at 25%.

Team Form

Pelotas RS comes into this match with a run of five draws in their last six games. Their recent results show a 2-1 home win against Gloria RS on Aug 26, but four draws against Bento Goncalves RS (1-1), Santa Cruz RS (0-0), EC Passo Fundo RS (3-3), and Gloria RS (0-0). They are hard to beat but struggle to close out games.

Aimore RS has been more decisive. They won three of their last five matches, beating Gramadense RS (2-0), Gaucho RS (1-0), and GE Bage RS (2-1). Their two losses came away at APAFUT (3-2) and Brasil de Pelotas RS (1-0). The away form is solid, with four wins in seven road games this season.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record heavily favors Pelotas RS. In 18 previous meetings, Pelotas RS won 9, Aimore RS won just 1, and 8 ended in draws. The most recent clash was on Mar 26, 2021, when Aimore RS beat Pelotas RS 2-1 away. Before that, Pelotas RS had a 4-0 home win in 2018 and a 1-0 win in the Copa do Nordeste.

League Table Positions

Aimore RS sits top of the overall Campeonato Gaucho. Serie A2 table with 31 points from 14 games (9 wins, 4 draws, 1 loss). They have the best defense in the league, conceding only 5 goals. Pelotas RS is not listed in the top 8 of the available standings, which highlights the gap between the two sides this season. Aimore RS is also ranked 1st in the away standings with 14 points from 7 games.

Win Probability: Pelotas RS or Aimore RS?

We calculate the win probability based on odds, form, and league positions. The bookmakers' average odds imply a home win probability around 33%, a draw at 52%, and an away win at 25% before removing the margin. After adjusting for Aimore's dominant league record (9 wins in 14) and Pelotas RS's many draws, the true chances shift. Aimore RS has a 48% chance to win, the draw is at 25%, and Pelotas RS has a 27% chance. Aimore's strong defense and top spot make them the likely winner, but Pelotas's historical edge in the head-to-head adds some doubt.

Odds & Match Prediction

The best available odds for this match see a home win for Pelotas RS at 3.00, a draw at 1.85, and an away win for Aimore RS at 4.20. The low draw odds reflect Pelotas's recent form and the history between these teams. Our Pelotas RS vs Aimore RS prediction is a low-scoring game. Based on the stats, Aimore RS is the more consistent side and should edge this, but a draw is a very real possibility. The betting tips point to the double chance on Aimore RS or the draw.