Persipura Jayapura - RANS Nusantara Cilegon United prediction 09/10/2026

Persipura Jayapura vs RANS Nusantara Cilegon United prediction for the Liga 2 match on October 9, 2026. Based on the stats, Persipura Jayapura is the favorite with a 55% win probability. The draw sits at 25%, while RANS Nusantara Cilegon United has a 20% chance. This betting tip looks at team form, head-to-head record, and the latest odds to answer who will win.

Team Form

Persipura Jayapura comes into this match with a mixed run: W, D, D, L, L in their last five outings. The most recent result was a 3-1 away win against Dejan on October 2. Before that, they drew 1-1 at home with Persis Solo and 0-0 at home with Kendal Tornado. The two defeats were a 3-2 loss at Barito Putera and a 0-1 home loss to Adhyaksa Farmel FC. At home, Persipura has struggled to turn draws into wins lately.

RANS Nusantara Cilegon United's last five results read W, L, D, W, L. They are coming off a big 5-1 away win at PSBS Biak Numfor on October 3. Before that, they lost 1-2 at home to Deltras Raya Sidoarjo, drew 3-3 away at Dejan, beat Persiba Balikpapan 3-2 at home, and lost a friendly 0-2 to Arema Indonesia. The away form shows they can score but also concede.

Head-to-Head Record

The H2H record strongly favors Persipura Jayapura. In three previous meetings, Persipura won twice and there was one draw. RANS Nusantara Cilegon United has never beaten Persipura. The last clash was on February 21, 2025, when Persipura won 8-0 at home. Earlier, on November 14, 2024, Persipura also won 4-0 at home. The only draw was a 1-1 result at RANS on January 28, 2025. The goal difference in these three games is 13-1 for Persipura.

League Table Positions

No current league table data is available in the provided stats. Both teams compete in the Indonesian Liga 2, but exact positions and points are not included in this match preview.

Win Probability: Persipura Jayapura or RANS Nusantara Cilegon United?

Who will win? After analyzing the odds, form, and H2H, we calculate the outcome chances as follows: Persipura Jayapura has a 55% probability of winning, the draw is at 25%, and RANS Nusantara Cilegon United has a 20% chance. The odds-implied probabilities (after removing the bookmaker margin) gave Persipura around 48.6%, the draw 28.6%, and RANS 22.8%. We adjusted those numbers upward for the home side because of the dominant H2H record (two big home wins) and the fact that Persipura is playing at home. RANS's away win probability was lowered slightly due to their poor H2H history against this opponent. The draw remains a real possibility given Persipura's recent home draws.

Odds & Match Prediction

The best available odds for this match show Persipura Jayapura as the clear favorite. Across several bookmakers, the home win odds average around 1.80, the draw around 3.00, and an away win around 3.80. One bookmaker offers 1.75 for a Persipura victory. These odds reflect the market expectation that Persipura is the more likely winner. Our prediction: based on the stats, Persipura Jayapura is the team to back, but the value might be in the draw given the recent home form. A correct score bet is risky, but a low-scoring match is possible. Always check the latest odds before placing a bet.