Chrobry Glogow - Pogon Siedlce prediction 12/09/2026

This Chrobry Glogow vs Pogon Siedlce prediction looks at the I Liga match on Sep 12 at 13:30. Based on the stats, Chrobry Glogow is the favorite with a 48% win probability, while Pogon Siedlce has a 24% chance and the draw sits at 28%. Read on for full betting tips, team form, and head-to-head analysis.

Team Form

Chrobry Glogow comes into this match with a mixed run in their last five games: D, W, W, L, D. They drew 1-1 away at Miedz Legnica on Sep 05, beat Ruch Chorzow 2-0 at home on Aug 30, and lost 0-1 at home to Warta Poznan on Aug 21. Their home form shows two wins, two draws, and one loss in the last five at their stadium.

Pogon Siedlce's recent form reads D, W, L, W, D. They drew 2-2 away at Kluczevia Stargard in the Cup on Sep 01, beat Stal Mielec 2-0 at home on Aug 29, and lost 0-1 away to Lechia Gdansk on Aug 21. Away from home, they have one win, two draws, and two losses in their last five trips.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record favors Chrobry Glogow. In the last seven meetings, Chrobry Glogow has 5 wins, Pogon Siedlce has 2 wins, and there have been 0 draws. The most recent match was on Mar 22, 2026, where Chrobry Glogow won 2-1 away at Pogon Siedlce. Before that, on Sep 12, 2025, Chrobry Glogow won 2-1 at home. The trend shows Chrobry Glogow has won the last three league encounters.

League Table Positions

In the I Liga overall standings, Chrobry Glogow sits 4th with 11 points from 7 matches (3 wins, 2 draws, 2 losses). Pogon Siedlce is 11th with 8 points from 6 games (2 wins, 2 draws, 2 losses). At home, Chrobry Glogow is not in the top 8 home table, but their away form is strong - ranked 3rd in the away table with 7 points from 3 away games. Pogon Siedlce's home form is 5th best, but this match is at Chrobry Glogow's ground.

Win Probability: Chrobry Glogow or Pogon Siedlce?

Who will win this match? Based on the odds, form, and head-to-head record, we calculate the win probability as follows: Chrobry Glogow has a 48% chance of winning, the draw is at 28%, and Pogon Siedlce has a 24% chance. The total equals 100%. The odds imply a tighter contest, but Chrobry Glogow's strong head-to-head record (5 wins in 7) and higher league position give them a clear edge. Pogon Siedlce's inconsistent away form also lowers their chances.

Odds & Match Prediction

The bookmakers' odds for this match show Chrobry Glogow as the favorite. The best home win odds are around 2.40, the draw is at 2.15, and an away win for Pogon Siedlce is priced at 3.90. These odds reflect the home advantage and the head-to-head history. Our Chrobry Glogow vs Pogon Siedlce prediction is a home win, but the draw odds are low, so a tight match is expected. Based on the stats, a 1-0 or 2-1 scoreline for Chrobry Glogow looks likely.