Polonia Laziska Gorne - Przemsza Siewierz prediction 13/10/2026

The Polonia Laziska Gorne vs Przemsza Siewierz prediction for October 13, 2026, points to a home win. This IV Liga match kicks off at 14:30, and based on recent form and head-to-head stats, Polonia Laziska Gorne enters as the clear favorite with a 55% win probability.

Team Form

Polonia Laziska Gorne comes into this match in strong shape. Their last five results show four wins and one loss: a 2-0 defeat away to Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biala II on Sep 18, a 3-1 home win over Szombierki Bytom on Aug 15, a 4-0 away win at Rozwoj Katowice on Jun 3, a 2-0 home win against Gwarek Tarnowskie Gory on May 20, and a 1-0 home win over Przemsza Siewierz on Apr 29. That is an impressive run, especially at home where they have won three straight.

Przemsza Siewierz is struggling. Their last five matches show one win, one draw, and three losses. They beat Rozwoj Katowice 4-0 at home on Oct 1, but lost 6-1 away to GKS Katowice II on Sep 13, lost 2-1 away to Ruch Chorzow II on Aug 30, drew 2-2 away with Piast Gliwice II on Aug 22, and lost 1-0 away to Polonia Laziska Gorne on Apr 29. Away from home, they have been vulnerable, conceding 11 goals in their last four road games.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record is short but decisive. These teams have met once, on April 29, 2026, in the IV Liga. Polonia Laziska Gorne won that match 1-0 at home. That gives the home side a 100% win record in this fixture, with no draws and no wins for Przemsza Siewierz.

League Table Positions

Both teams compete in the IV Liga in Poland. While exact table positions and points are not available in the current data, the form guide suggests Polonia Laziska Gorne is in the upper part of the standings and Przemsza Siewierz is likely in the lower half. The gap in recent results is significant, with Polonia showing consistency and Przemsza leaking goals on the road.

Win Probability: Polonia Laziska Gorne or Przemsza Siewierz?

After analyzing the available stats, the win probability for this match is: Polonia Laziska Gorne 55%, draw 25%, Przemsza Siewierz 20%. This calculation starts with the bookmaker odds. The average inverse of the best available odds (home 2.30, draw 2.50, away 3.10) gives raw probabilities of about 43% for a home win, 40% for a draw, and 32% for an away win. After removing the bookmaker margin and adjusting for the strong home form, the perfect home H2H record, and Przemsza Siewierz's poor away defensive record, the home win probability rises to 55%. The draw stays at 25%, and the away win drops to 20%. Polonia Laziska Gorne is the more likely winner.

Odds & Match Prediction

The best available odds for this IV Liga match show Polonia Laziska Gorne at 2.30, the draw at 2.50, and Przemsza Siewierz at 3.10. Bookmakers see the home side as the favorite, which aligns with the form and head-to-head data. Our Polonia Laziska Gorne vs Przemsza Siewierz prediction is a home win. Based on the stats, the 1X2 betting tip is to back Polonia Laziska Gorne to win. The total goals market could also be of interest, as Przemsza Siewierz's away matches often see multiple goals, but the only H2H meeting was a tight 1-0. A low-scoring home win is a likely match outcome.