Portland Hearts of Pine - AC Boise prediction 10/10/2026

Our Portland Hearts of Pine vs AC Boise prediction looks at the USL League One match on October 10, 2026, at 18:00. AC Boise is the favorite with a 52% win probability, while Portland Hearts of Pine has a 24% chance and the draw sits at 24%. This betting tip is based on recent form, head-to-head record, and league table positions.

Team Form

Portland Hearts of Pine come into this match with a mixed run of results in their last five games: two wins, two draws, and one loss. Their most recent outing was a 3-3 draw away at Spokane Velocity on October 3. Before that, they lost 1-4 at home to Sarasota Paradise on September 26. The team has shown they can score but also concede goals, with both teams finding the net in three of those last five matches.

AC Boise's recent form is similar, with two wins, two draws, and one loss in their last five. They secured a 1-0 home win against Greenville Triumph on October 3. A 1-2 away loss to Corpus Christi on September 26 broke a short unbeaten run. AC Boise has been solid at the back lately, keeping a clean sheet in their latest win.

Head-to-Head Record

These teams have met only once before. In that match on July 17, 2026, AC Boise beat Portland Hearts of Pine 2-1 at home. That single head-to-head clash gives AC Boise a psychological edge and a 100% winning record in this fixture so far.

League Table Positions

Looking at the USL League One standings, AC Boise sits in 4th place with 49 points from 29 matches. They have 14 wins, 7 draws, and 8 losses, with 45 goals scored and 39 conceded. Portland Hearts of Pine are not in the top 12 of the overall table, which suggests they are lower down the rankings. AC Boise's home form is strong with 9 wins from 15 games, but this match is at Portland. AC Boise's away record shows 5 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses from 14 away matches, ranking them 5th in the away table.

Win Probability: Portland Hearts of Pine or AC Boise?

Who will win this match? Based on the available data, AC Boise has a 52% chance of winning, the draw is at 24%, and Portland Hearts of Pine has a 24% chance. This calculation uses the inverse of typical odds adjusted by the head-to-head record, where AC Boise won the only previous meeting, and the league table gap. AC Boise's higher position and better away form give them a clear edge, but Portland's home advantage and recent scoring ability keep the draw and a home win as real possibilities.

Odds & Match Prediction

Odds for this match are not available in the data, but bookmakers would likely price AC Boise as the favorite given their 4th place standing and the only H2H win. Our Portland Hearts of Pine vs AC Boise prediction is an away win for AC Boise. The stats point to a tight game, but AC Boise's consistency and defensive record in recent weeks make them the more likely winner. A correct score bet or under 2.5 goals could be worth considering as a betting tip, given both teams' recent low-scoring matches.