Orlando Pride Women - Portland Thorns Women prediction 19/09/2026

Who will win Orlando Pride Women vs Portland Thorns Women? The NWSL Women match on Sep 19, 2026 at 20:00 puts two teams in different table positions against each other. Based on the latest odds, team form and head-to-head record, Portland Thorns Women has a 35% win probability, while the draw sits at 35% and Orlando Pride Women at 30%.

Team Form

Orlando Pride Women come into this match with a mixed run. Their last five results were D, W, L, W, L, including a 3–1 home win over Houston Dash Women and a 2–1 loss away at Portland Thorns Women on Aug 16. At home, they have struggled for consistency, losing 1–2 to Utah Royals FC Women in their most recent home game.

Portland Thorns Women show slightly better form with D, L, D, W, W in their last five. They beat Denver Summit Women 1–0 at home and won 2–1 at home against this same Orlando Pride Women side. Away from home, draws against Chicago Red Stars Women (1–1) and Gotham FC Women (1–1) show they are tough to beat on the road.

Head-to-Head Record

The H2H between Orlando Pride Women and Portland Thorns Women stands at 1 win each from two meetings. On Oct 11, 2025, Orlando Pride Women won 1–0 at home. The most recent clash on Aug 16, 2026, saw Portland Thorns Women win 2–1 at home. No draws so far, and both teams have scored in each of the two encounters.

League Table Positions

In the overall NWSL Women standings, Portland Thorns Women sit 6th with 39 points from 24 matches (11W, 6D, 7L). Orlando Pride Women are 11th with 30 points (9W, 3D, 12L). The nine-point gap underlines the visitors' stronger campaign so far. At home, Portland Thorns Women rank 3rd in the home table with 25 points from 12 games, while Orlando Pride Women do not appear in the top eight at home. Away from home, Portland Thorns Women are 7th with 14 points from 12 away matches (4W, 2D, 6L).

Win Probability: Orlando Pride Women or Portland Thorns Women?

Calculating the probability of each outcome gives: Orlando Pride Women win – 30%, draw – 35%, Portland Thorns Women win – 35%. These numbers start from the bookmakers' odds (inverse 1X2 odds, normalized) and are adjusted for recent form, head-to-head record, and league table positions. The odds implied a very even contest with a slight draw bias, but Portland Thorns Women's higher league ranking and unbeaten run of three games (two wins, one draw) tip the balance just enough to make them the marginal favorite. Still, a draw is a real possibility – both teams have drawn two of their last five games. The low scoring in recent head-to-heads (two goals per game on average) also points to a tight match.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers offer 1X2 odds around 2.50 for an Orlando Pride Women home win, 2.38 for the draw, and 3.30 for a Portland Thorns Women away win. These prices confirm the market sees little between the sides. Based on the stats, Portland Thorns Women have a slight edge, but the value could be on the draw given the tight probabilities. Our Orlando Pride Women vs Portland Thorns Women prediction: a low-scoring draw or a narrow Portland Thorns Women win looks the most likely outcome. Avoid a high-stake bet on the winner; the under 2.5 goals market might be more attractive considering the H2H history and both teams' recent scoring form.