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Foggia - Potenza prediction 11/10/2026

Italy · Serie C·

Match info

Competição
Serie C · Italy
Início

Forma recente

últimos 5 jogos
Foggia

FC Giugliano 1928Foggia31DSerie C

FoggiaPotenza13DSerie C

CosenzaFoggia02VSerie C

FoggiaASD Sorrento 194520VSerie C

Inter Milan U23Foggia32DSerie C
Potenza

PotenzaCatania21VSerie C

FoggiaPotenza13VSerie C

PotenzaAZ Picerno42VSerie C

BarlettaPotenza14VSerie C

PotenzaCavese 191942VSerie C

Confronto direto

10 confrontos
Foggia 4Empates 24 Potenza

FoggiaPotenza13Serie C

FoggiaPotenza01Serie C

PotenzaFoggia30Serie C

FoggiaPotenza34Serie C

PotenzaFoggia11Serie C

FoggiaPotenza00Serie C

FoggiaPotenza41Serie C

PotenzaFoggia01Serie C

FoggiaPotenza20Serie C

FoggiaPotenza20Serie C

Serie C 2026 · classificação

#TimeJVEDGPts
1Cittadella1090117:427
2Trento Calcio 19211055015:520
3Union Brescia1054117:819
4ACD Ospitaletto1053217:918
5Arzignano Valchiampo1052314:1117
6Treviso1044210:716
7Alcione1036117:1515
8US Pergolettese103528:814
9Lecco1034312:913
10Albinoleffe1034316:1513
11Desenzano Calvina103439:1113
12Lumezzane1033411:1412
13Novara1024410:1410
14Dolomiti Bellunesi102447:1210
15Juventus U231024410:1610
16Carpi1023514:209
17Pro Vercelli102358:189
18Giana Erminio1015410:138
19Folgore Caratese101369:156
20Renate100469:164

Foggia vs Potenza prediction for the Serie C match on October 11, 2026. Based on our analysis, Foggia has a 37% chance to win, while Potenza has 35% and the draw is at 28%. The odds and recent form point to a tight contest, with Foggia holding a slight edge at home.

Team Form

Foggia's last five matches show a mixed run: two wins, one draw, and two losses. They beat ASD Sorrento 1945 2-0 at home and Cosenza 2-0 away, but lost 3-2 to Inter Milan U23 and 1-0 to AC Monopoli, with a 0-0 draw against Savoia 1908 FC in between. The two recent wins suggest improving form.

Potenza comes into this match with stronger momentum. They won three straight games - 4-2 against AZ Picerno, 4-1 at Barletta, and 4-2 versus Cavese 1919 - before a 0-0 draw at Bari and a 4-2 loss at Salernitana. Potenza's attack has been prolific, scoring 14 goals in those five matches.

Head-to-Head Record

In the overall head-to-head, Foggia has 4 wins, Potenza 3, and 2 draws. However, recent meetings heavily favor Potenza. In the last five encounters, Potenza won three and drew two, remaining unbeaten. The most recent match on March 8, 2026 ended 1-0 to Potenza, and earlier in November 2025 Potenza won 3-0. Foggia last beat Potenza back in the 2023/24 season.

League Table Positions

Neither Foggia nor Potenza appear in the top 12 of the Serie C standings, placing both in the lower half of the table. Exact positions are not available, but the gap to the top sides indicates a mid-to-lower table battle.

Win Probability: Foggia or Potenza?

After normalizing the bookmaker odds and adjusting for form and H2H, we calculate the win probability as follows: Foggia 37%, draw 28%, Potenza 35%. Foggia gets a slight boost from home advantage and their recent two wins, but Potenza's dominant head-to-head record and high-scoring form make them a serious threat. The match is essentially a coin toss with a small edge to the home side.

Odds & Match Prediction

The current 1X2 odds are: Foggia win at 2.54, draw at 3.27, and Potenza win at 3.08. Bookmakers see Foggia as the favorite, but the odds imply a very close contest. Our prediction: based on the stats, Foggia has a narrow advantage, but Potenza's unbeaten recent H2H run suggests a draw or away win is very possible. A low-scoring affair or a 1-1 draw could be on the cards.

Foggia vs Potenza – FAQ

Who will win Foggia vs Potenza?
According to our win probability calculation, Foggia has a 37% chance to win, the draw is at 28%, and Potenza has a 35% chance. It's a very close match with Foggia as the slight favorite.
What is the win probability for Foggia?
Foggia has a 37% win probability. This is based on normalized odds, home advantage, and their recent two-match winning streak, though Potenza's strong H2H record keeps the numbers tight.
When is the Foggia vs Potenza match?
The match is on October 11, 2026, at 09:30 local time. It is a Serie C fixture from Italy.
What are the odds for the match?
The 1X2 odds are: Foggia win 2.54, draw 3.27, and Potenza win 3.08. These odds reflect a tight contest with Foggia slightly favored by the bookmakers.