Primeiro De Maio De Benguela - CD Lunda Sul prediction 21/09/2026

Primeiro De Maio De Benguela vs CD Lunda Sul prediction for the Girabola match on Sep 21, 2026, at 14:30. Based on the stats, Primeiro De Maio De Benguela has a 38% chance to win, the draw is at 40%, and CD Lunda Sul has 22%. The bookmakers see this as a tight game, with the draw being the most likely single outcome.

Team Form

Primeiro De Maio De Benguela comes into this match with a mixed recent record. In their last five games, they have two wins, two draws, and one loss. They beat Academica Do Lobito 2-0 away on Sep 05, lost 1-2 at home to Primeiro de Agosto on Aug 27, drew 1-1 with Kabuscorp do Palanca on Aug 23, drew 0-0 with Desportivo da Huila on May 20, and won 1-0 away against Academica Do Lobito on May 10. That shows they can get results on the road but have been inconsistent at home.

CD Lunda Sul has one win, two draws, and two losses in their last five outings. They drew 1-1 away at Kabuscorp do Palanca on Aug 29, lost 3-0 at Petro de Luanda on May 06, won 2-0 at Guelson FC on Apr 26, drew 0-0 at Academica Do Lobito on Apr 19, and lost 1-0 at Luanda City on Apr 09. Their away form is patchy, with only one win in those five trips.

Head-to-Head Record

These teams have met only once before. On Dec 07, 2025, Primeiro De Maio De Benguela won 1-0 at home in the Girabola. That head-to-head result gives the home side a psychological edge, but with just one match, it is a small sample to draw firm conclusions from.

League Table Positions

In the overall Girabola standings, CD Lunda Sul sits 8th with 5 points from 4 matches (1 win, 2 draws, 1 loss, goals 4:4). Primeiro De Maio De Benguela is 10th with 4 points from 4 games (1 win, 1 draw, 2 losses, goals 5:5). The away team has a slight points advantage, but the home side has played one game fewer and has a better goal difference. In the home table, CD Lunda Sul is 5th with 4 points from 3 home games, while Primeiro De Maio De Benguela does not appear in the top 8 of the home standings, which suggests their home form has been below par. However, the head-to-head win came at this stadium.

Win Probability: Primeiro De Maio De Benguela or CD Lunda Sul?

We calculated the win probability using the odds from three bookmakers, adjusted by recent form and head-to-head. The average implied chances from the odds were: home win 34.5%, draw 42.0%, away win 23.5%. After factoring in the home team's slightly better recent results and the 1-0 H2H win, we give Primeiro De Maio De Benguela a 38% chance to win, the draw a 40% chance, and CD Lunda Sul a 22% chance. So the draw is the most probable single outcome, but if someone must win, the home side has the edge.

Odds & Match Prediction

The odds for this match vary across bookmakers. One bookmaker offers 3.00 for a home win, 1.91 for the draw, and 4.33 for an away win. Another has 2.88, 1.91, and 4.00. A third lists 2.12, 2.85, and 3.30. The differences show some disagreement, but the draw is the shortest price in two of the three sets. Our Primeiro De Maio De Benguela vs CD Lunda Sul prediction is that this will be a close, low-scoring game. Based on the stats, the most likely result is a draw, with a 1-1 scoreline a real possibility. For betting tips, the draw odds around 1.91 to 2.85 offer value, and under 2.5 goals could also be worth considering given both teams' recent scoring records.