Match info
- Competição
- Liga 1 · Indonesia
- Início
Forma recente
últimos 5 jogos
Bhayangkara Surabaya UnitedBhayangkara Surabaya UnitedPSIM Yogyakarta10VLiga 1
Madura UnitedBhayangkara Surabaya United33ELiga 1
Arema IndonesiaBhayangkara Surabaya United22ELiga 1
Bhayangkara Surabaya UnitedAdhyaksa Farmel FC20VLiga 1
Dewa United Banten FCBhayangkara Surabaya United22ELiga 1
PSIM YogyakartaBhayangkara Surabaya UnitedPSIM Yogyakarta10DLiga 1
PSIM YogyakartaPSM Makassar12DLiga 1
PSIM YogyakartaPersija Jakarta04DLiga 1
Madura UnitedPSIM Yogyakarta21DLiga 1
Persebaya SurabayaPSIM Yogyakarta10DLiga 1
Confronto direto
5 confrontosBhayangkara Surabaya UnitedPSIM Yogyakarta10Liga 1
Bhayangkara Surabaya UnitedPSIM Yogyakarta21Liga 1
PSIM YogyakartaBhayangkara Surabaya United10Liga 1
PSIM YogyakartaBhayangkara Surabaya United11Liga 2
PSIM YogyakartaBhayangkara Surabaya United12Liga 2
Liga 1 2026 · classificação
| # | Time | J | V | E | D | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Persija Jakarta | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 15:5 | 15 |
| 2 |  Dewa United Banten FC | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 12:6 | 14 |
| 3 |  Madura United | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 11:7 | 13 |
| 4 |  Bali United Persisam | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 19:7 | 12 |
| 5 |  Persita Tangerang | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 11:8 | 11 |
| 6 | Bhayangkara Surabaya United | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 11:8 | 10 |
| 7 |  Persik Kediri | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7:4 | 10 |
| 8 |  Persib Bandung | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9:7 | 10 |
| 9 |  Persebaya Surabaya | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6:5 | 9 |
| 10 |  PSM Makassar | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9:12 | 8 |
| 11 |  Malut United | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9:9 | 8 |
| 12 |  Arema Indonesia | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 12:14 | 6 |
| 13 |  Borneo Samarinda | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4:6 | 6 |
| 14 |  Garudayaksa | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6:12 | 5 |
| 15 |  PSS Sleman | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9:11 | 4 |
| 16 |  Adhyaksa Farmel FC | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3:12 | 4 |
| 17 | PSIM Yogyakarta | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3:11 | 1 |
| 18 |  Persijap Jepara | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2:14 | 0 |
On October 20, Bhayangkara Surabaya United faces PSIM Yogyakarta in Liga 1. This Bhayangkara Surabaya United vs PSIM Yogyakarta prediction points to a clear favorite: the home team has a 57% win probability, while the draw sits at 24% and an away victory at 19%.
Team Form
Bhayangkara Surabaya United is unbeaten in their last five matches (W1 D4). They drew 3-3 with Madura United, 2-2 with Arema Indonesia, and 1-1 with Persebaya Surabaya. Their only win in that run was a 2-0 home result over Adhyaksa Farmel FC. Three of those four draws came away from home, showing resilience.
PSIM Yogyakarta has struggled badly. Their last five results read L, L, L, L, D. They lost 1-2 at home to PSM Makassar, 0-4 to Persija Jakarta, 1-2 at Madura United, and 0-1 at Persebaya Surabaya. The lone point was a 1-1 home draw with Persita Tangerang. They have scored just 3 goals in those five games while conceding 12, making this a very tough away trip.
Head-to-Head Record
The four recent meetings between these sides show an edge for Bhayangkara Surabaya United. They have 2 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss. The most recent clash on April 17, 2026, ended 2-1 to Bhayangkara Surabaya United. Earlier, on November 22, 2025, PSIM Yogyakarta won 1-0 at home. In Liga 2, they drew 1-1 in February 2025 and Bhayangkara Surabaya United won 2-1 away in December 2024. The H2H stats, combined with current form, strongly favor the hosts.
League Table Positions
Bhayangkara Surabaya United sits 8th in the Liga 1 standings with 7 points from 5 games (1W 4D 0L). They are one of only two teams still unbeaten in the league. PSIM Yogyakarta is not listed in the top 12, reflecting their poor start and low position. The gap in table placement adds weight to the home side’s advantage.
Win Probability: Bhayangkara Surabaya United or PSIM Yogyakarta?
Based on odds, form, H2H, and league context, Bhayangkara Surabaya United has a 57% chance of winning. The draw has a 24% probability, and PSIM Yogyakarta a 19% chance. The home team’s undefeated streak, the visitors’ four straight defeats, and the head-to-head record all point to a home win as the most likely outcome. The win probability model uses inverse odds (home 1.68, draw 3.94, away 5.17) normalized to remove the bookmaker margin, then adjusted for the strong form discrepancy.
Odds & Match Prediction
Bookmakers see Bhayangkara Surabaya United as the clear favorite, with 1X2 odds around 1.68 for a home win. The draw is priced at 3.94 and an away win at 5.17. Our Bhayangkara Surabaya United vs PSIM Yogyakarta prediction is that the home team will likely secure all three points, but the high proportion of draws in Bhayangkara’s recent results makes the 1X double chance an interesting betting option. A 2-0 or 2-1 home victory fits the stats. Always check team news before placing any bet.