Qatar SC - Al Rayyan prediction 09/10/2026

Qatar SC vs Al Rayyan prediction for the Stars League match on October 9, 2026. Based on our analysis, Al Rayyan is the favorite with a 55% win probability, while Qatar SC has only 17% chance. The game kicks off at 11:45 (UTC-3) and the bookmakers odds already point to an away victory.

Team Form

Qatar SC comes into this match with a mixed recent record: one win, two draws, and two losses in the last five games. They beat Al Bidda SC 1-0 in the Stars Cup, drew 2-2 with Al Rayyan and 0-0 with Al Arabi Doha, but lost 0-1 to Al Ahli Doha and suffered a heavy 2-6 defeat against Al Sadd Doha. The team has struggled in the league, sitting 11th with just one point from three matches.

Al Rayyan, on the other hand, is unbeaten in their last five outings. They drew 1-1 with Al Sailiya and 2-2 with Qatar SC in the Stars Cup, beat Al Faisaly Amman 4-3 in the AFC Champions League Two, crushed Al Ahli Doha 3-0, and drew 1-1 with Al Duhail. With two wins and three draws, Al Rayyan shows consistency and offensive power.

Head-to-Head Record

The overall H2H record favors Al Rayyan: 12 wins against 5 for Qatar SC, with 3 draws. Looking at the last five meetings, Al Rayyan is unbeaten – two wins and three draws. The most recent clash on September 20, 2026 ended 2-2. Before that, a 3-3 draw in February 2026, a 1-1 draw in September 2025, a 2-0 Al Rayyan win in April 2025, and a 2-1 Al Rayyan victory in December 2024. Qatar SC has not beaten Al Rayyan in any of those five matches.

League Table Positions

Al Rayyan sits 2nd in the Stars League with 10 points from 4 games (3 wins, 1 draw, 0 losses), scoring 7 and conceding only 2. Qatar SC is 11th with just 1 point from 3 matches (0 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses), with 4 goals scored and 9 conceded. The gap is huge. Al Rayyan’s away form is also strong: they won their only away league game 2-1. Qatar SC’s home record is not even among the top eight in the home standings, which underlines their struggles.

Win Probability: Qatar SC or Al Rayyan?

After analyzing the odds, team form, H2H record, and league positions, we calculate the win probability as follows: Qatar SC 17%, draw 28%, Al Rayyan 55%. The bookmakers’ implied odds (after removing the margin) gave Al Rayyan around 48%, but their superior form and head-to-head dominance push that number higher. Qatar SC’s poor league start and defensive issues make an upset very unlikely. Al Rayyan is clearly the team more likely to win this match.

Odds & Match Prediction

The available odds for the match are: home win 5.00, draw 2.60, away win 1.85. These numbers confirm that bookmakers see Al Rayyan as the favorite. Based on the stats, our Qatar SC vs Al Rayyan prediction is an away win. Al Rayyan’s unbeaten run, strong away performance, and historical edge over Qatar SC all point to three points for the visitors. A draw is the second most probable outcome, but the value lies with the away side.