Santos Laguna - Queretaro prediction 17/10/2026

Our Santos Laguna vs Queretaro prediction for the Liga MX match on Oct 17 at 20:00 is here. Based on the stats, Queretaro enters as the favorite with a 45% win probability, while Santos Laguna has a 30% chance and the draw sits at 25%. This betting tips guide covers team form, head-to-head record, and league table positions to help you decide who will win.

Team Form

Santos Laguna comes into this match with a mixed run of results. Their last five matches show three wins and two losses (W, W, W, L, L). At home, they recently beat Pachuca 1-0 and FC Juarez 2-1, but lost 2-3 to Club Celaya II in a non-league game. Their attack has been inconsistent, scoring 8 goals in those five games.

Queretaro is in strong form with three wins and two draws in their last five (W, D, W, D, W). Away from home, they are unbeaten in their last five Liga MX trips, including a 2-0 win at Chivas Guadalajara and a 1-0 victory at Tijuana. They have conceded just 2 goals in their last five away matches, showing solid defense.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record between these two teams favors Santos Laguna historically, with 15 wins to Queretaro's 8, plus 3 draws. However, recent meetings have been tight. In their last five clashes, Queretaro won twice, Santos Laguna won twice, and one match ended in a 2-2 draw. The most recent game on Feb 27 finished Queretaro 2-2 Santos Laguna. The match before that, on Oct 26, 2025, saw Santos Laguna win 3-1 at home.

League Table Positions

In the Liga MX overall standings, Queretaro sits in 3rd place with 20 points from 10 matches (6 wins, 2 draws, 2 losses). They have scored 15 goals and conceded only 8. Santos Laguna is not in the top 12 of the overall table shown, but their recent home form has been patchy. Queretaro's away record is the best in the league - 1st place with 13 points from 5 away games, 4 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, scoring 8 and conceding just 2. This away strength is a key factor in our Santos Laguna vs Queretaro prediction.

Win Probability: Santos Laguna or Queretaro?

After analyzing the data, here are the win probabilities for this match: Santos Laguna has a 30% chance to win, the draw is at 25%, and Queretaro has a 45% chance. These percentages are based on Queretaro's excellent away form, their higher league position, and the recent head-to-head balance. Santos Laguna's home advantage gives them a solid chance, but Queretaro's defensive record on the road makes them the likely winner. The total outcome chances add up to 100%.

Odds & Match Prediction

Odds for this match are not available in the current data, but based on the stats, bookmakers would likely price Queretaro as the favorite. Our Santos Laguna vs Queretaro prediction is that Queretaro has the edge to win, but a draw is a real possibility given the tight head-to-head history. For betting tips, the under 2.5 goals market could be worth a look, as Queretaro's away matches tend to be low-scoring.