Radnik Sesvete - Jadran Luka Ploce prediction 09/10/2026

Radnik Sesvete vs Jadran Luka Ploce prediction for the Prva HNL match on Oct 9 at 10:00. Jadran Luka Ploce is the favorite with a 52% win probability, while Radnik Sesvete has a 25% chance and the draw sits at 23%. This betting tips preview covers team form, head-to-head record, league table positions and the latest odds.

Team Form

Radnik Sesvete come into this match with two wins and three losses in their last five outings. They lost 2-0 away to Croatia Zmijavci on Sep 27 and fell 2-1 at home to Cibalia Vinkovci on Sep 18. Before that, they beat Dinamo Zagreb II 2-1 away and Segesta 2-0 at home. Their form is inconsistent, with the attack scoring 5 goals and the defense conceding 6 in those five matches.

Jadran Luka Ploce have three wins and two losses in their last five games. They lost 2-1 in a friendly at Zrinjski Mostar on Oct 2. In the league, they beat Kustosija 1-0 at home, won 3-2 away at Vukovar 91, and beat Orijent Rijeka 1-0 at home. Their only league loss in this run was a 1-0 defeat at Bijelo Brdo. The away side has scored 6 and conceded 5 in the last five.

Head-to-Head Record

There is no head-to-head history between Radnik Sesvete and Jadran Luka Ploce. The data shows zero previous meetings, so this will be the first clash between the two sides. That makes the league table positions and current form even more important for this Radnik Sesvete vs Jadran Luka Ploce prediction.

League Table Positions

Jadran Luka Ploce sit top of the Prva HNL overall table with 14 points from 7 matches (4 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss). They have scored 12 goals and conceded 7. Radnik Sesvete are 7th with 9 points from 7 games (3 wins, 0 draws, 4 losses), scoring 9 and conceding 8. At home, Radnik Sesvete are 8th with 6 points from 4 matches. Jadran Luka Ploce are the best away team in the league, ranked 1st with 6 points from 3 away games (2 wins, 1 loss). The 5-point gap and the away form give Jadran Luka Ploce a clear edge.

Win Probability: Radnik Sesvete or Jadran Luka Ploce?

Based on the odds, form, and league standings, Jadran Luka Ploce has a 52% chance to win this match. The draw probability is 23%, and Radnik Sesvete has a 25% chance. The odds imply a tight contest, but the away team's top position and strong away record tilt the balance. Radnik Sesvete's home form is average, with two wins and two losses, which keeps their win probability lower. The lack of H2H data adds some uncertainty, but the numbers point to an away win as the most likely outcome.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers have priced this match closely. The 1X2 odds show Radnik Sesvete at 2.15, the draw at 3.05-3.10, and Jadran Luka Ploce at 3.00-3.25 across different books. One outlier offers very low odds, but the market consensus sees the home side as a slight favorite in the betting. However, the league table and away form suggest Jadran Luka Ploce are undervalued. Our Radnik Sesvete vs Jadran Luka Ploce prediction is an away win, but a draw is a real possibility given the tight odds. For betting tips, the away win or draw double chance looks solid based on the stats.