Levski Sofia - Red Bull Salzburg prediction 17/09/2026

On September 17, 2026, Levski Sofia host Red Bull Salzburg at Vasil Levski National Stadium in the UEFA Europa League. This Levski Sofia vs Red Bull Salzburg prediction gives the visitors a 52% win probability, with the draw at 26% and a Levski Sofia home win at 22%. Red Bull Salzburg arrive as the favorite based on stronger recent form and European experience.

Team Form

Levski Sofia's last five matches show three wins, one draw, and one loss. They drew 0-0 away at Botev Vratsa on Sep 13, beat CSKA 1948 Sofia 1-0 at home on Sep 05, won 2-1 at Slavia Sofia on Sep 02, and won 3-1 at Botev Plovdiv on Aug 30. A 4-0 loss at AEK Athens in UEFA Champions League Qualification on Aug 26 is the only recent defeat for the Bulgarian side.

Red Bull Salzburg come into this match with four wins and one draw in their last five games. They drew 1-1 at SV Ried on Sep 11, won 3-0 at SKN St. Polten in the Cup on Sep 06, thrashed Rapid Wien 5-1 at home on Sep 02, beat Austria Wien 4-1 at home on Aug 30, and won 3-0 at WSG Tirol on Aug 16. The Austrian team has scored 16 goals in these five matches, showing strong attacking form.

Head-to-Head Record

There are no previous meetings between Levski Sofia and Red Bull Salzburg. The head-to-head record stands at 0 wins for Levski Sofia, 0 draws, and 0 wins for Red Bull Salzburg. This UEFA Europa League clash is the first-ever encounter between the two clubs, so there is no historical data to lean on for this Levski Sofia vs Red Bull Salzburg prediction.

League Table Positions

Levski Sofia compete in the Bulgarian 1st League, while Red Bull Salzburg play in the Austrian Bundesliga. Both teams are in the early stages of their domestic seasons and are also involved in European competition. Red Bull Salzburg's recent high-scoring wins in the Bundesliga and Cup suggest they are in a strong position domestically, while Levski Sofia have been solid but less dominant in their recent 1st League outings.

Win Probability: Levski Sofia or Red Bull Salzburg?

Based on the available odds, team form, and the home/away factor, we calculate the win probability as follows: Levski Sofia win – 22%, draw – 26%, Red Bull Salzburg win – 52%. The odds from bookmakers show Red Bull Salzburg as the favorite, with average away win odds around 2.43. The inverse of the odds, normalized to remove the bookmaker margin, gives Red Bull Salzburg a clear edge. Their attacking form – 16 goals in the last five matches – and consistent results on the road tip the balance. Levski Sofia have home advantage and a decent recent record, but the 4-0 loss to AEK Athens raises questions about their level against stronger European opponents. The conclusion: Red Bull Salzburg are more likely to win, but the draw is a realistic second outcome.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers offer a range of odds for this match. The 1X2 market shows home win odds between 3.00 and 3.50, draw odds between 2.30 and 3.70, and away win odds between 2.22 and 2.60. Red Bull Salzburg are seen as the favorite by the betting market. Our Levski Sofia vs Red Bull Salzburg prediction, based on the stats and form, is an away win. Betting tips: the away win offers value at odds around 2.50, while the over 2.5 goals market could also be worth a look given Salzburg's recent scoring record. Always check the latest odds before placing a bet.