Takeley - Redbridge prediction 22/09/2026

The Redbridge vs Takeley prediction for September 22, 2026, points to a tight Isthmian League. North Division match. Based on recent form and the league table, Redbridge enters as the slight favorite with a 48% win probability. Takeley has a 28% chance, and the draw sits at 24%.

Team Form

Takeley's last five results show a mixed run: W, L, D, L, W. They beat Brightlingsea Regent 2-0 at home on Sep 19 but suffered a heavy 5-0 loss at Hashtag United on Sep 15. Earlier, they drew 0-0 at Newmarket Town and lost 3-2 at Witham Town. A 2-0 home win over Wroxham on Aug 15 rounds out the sequence.

Redbridge comes in with stronger recent form: L, W, D, W, W. They lost 2-1 at Grays Athletic on Sep 12 but won 2-1 at Brightlingsea Regent on Sep 5. A 1-1 draw at Cambridge City in the FA Trophy on Aug 29 was followed by a 4-2 home win over Bowers Pitsea and a 2-1 win at Gorleston. Redbridge has won three of their last five, showing better consistency.

Head-to-Head Record

These teams have met once before, with Takeley winning that encounter. On Oct 13, 2025, Takeley beat Redbridge 2-1 away in the Isthmian League. North Division. The H2H record stands at 1 win for Takeley, 0 draws, and 0 wins for Redbridge. That single match gives Takeley a psychological edge, but a lot has changed since last season.

League Table Positions

Redbridge sits 5th in the overall standings with 68 points from 41 matches (20 wins, 8 draws, 13 losses). They have scored 79 goals and conceded 62. Takeley is not in the top 12 of the overall table provided, but Redbridge's away form is particularly strong - ranked 2nd in the league with 42 points from 21 away games (13 wins, 3 draws, 5 losses). Takeley's home record is not listed among the top 8 home teams, which suggests Redbridge's away strength could be a key factor in this Redbridge vs Takeley prediction.

Win Probability: Redbridge or Takeley?

Based on the available data, the win probability for this match is calculated as follows: Redbridge win - 48%, draw - 24%, Takeley win - 28%. This Redbridge vs Takeley prediction uses the inverse of the best available odds (home 4.00, draw 2.40, away 2.20) as a base, then adjusts for Redbridge's superior league position, their excellent away form, and Takeley's inconsistent recent results. The head-to-head win for Takeley last season prevents Redbridge from being an even stronger favorite. Redbridge has a 48% chance of winning, the draw is at 24%, and Takeley has a 28% chance.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers' odds for this match show a tight contest. The best odds available are: Takeley home win at 4.00, the draw at 2.40, and a Redbridge away win at 2.20. The odds imply Redbridge is the favorite, which aligns with their higher league position and strong away performances. The betting tips angle here points to Redbridge on the double chance or a straight away win, given their 48% win probability. Takeley's 2-1 H2H win from 2025 adds some caution, but current form favors the away side. Our match prediction: Redbridge to win, with a likely scoreline of 2-1 based on both teams' recent scoring and conceding patterns.