Podhale Nowy Targ - Rekord Bielsko-Biala prediction 03/10/2026

Our Podhale Nowy Targ vs Rekord Bielsko-Biala prediction for this II Liga match on Oct 3 at 08:00 gives Podhale Nowy Targ a 48% win probability. The home side is the favorite based on recent form and head-to-head record, but Rekord Bielsko-Biala is close behind in the league table and will make this a tight contest.

Team Form

Podhale Nowy Targ comes into this match with strong momentum. Their last five results are L, W, W, W, W. The most recent match was a 3-0 away loss against Legia Warszawa II on Sep 19. Before that, they beat Stal Stalowa Wola 5-0 at home, Sandecja Nowy Sacz 2-1 at home, Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki 3-1 at home in the Cup, and Olimpia Grudziadz 3-1 away. They have scored 13 goals in their last five games.

Rekord Bielsko-Biala's last five results are W, W, W, L, L. Their latest outing was a 3-0 home win against Swit Skolwin Szczecin on Sep 18. They also won 1-0 away at Avia Swidnik and 2-1 away at Legia Warszawa II. The two losses were 1-0 away at Gornik Leczna and 2-1 at home against Olimpia Grudziadz. The away team has won three of the last five but lost the other two.

Head-to-Head Record

In the last four head-to-head matches between Podhale Nowy Targ and Rekord Bielsko-Biala, Podhale Nowy Targ has won 2, Rekord Bielsko-Biala has won 1, and there has been 1 draw. The most recent meeting was on Nov 29, 2025, in II Liga, where Podhale Nowy Targ won 3-2 at home. Earlier in 2025, they drew 1-1 in II Liga and Podhale Nowy Targ won 4-0 in a Friendly Clubs match. The only Rekord Bielsko-Biala win in this run was a 1-0 Friendly Clubs result back in 2019.

League Table Positions

In the overall II Liga standings, Rekord Bielsko-Biala sits 5th with 16 points from 9 matches (5 wins, 1 draw, 3 losses). Podhale Nowy Targ is 9th with 14 points (4 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses). At home, Podhale Nowy Targ is 4th with 10 points from 5 games, while Rekord Bielsko-Biala is 5th in the away table with 7 points from 5 away matches. The gap between the two teams is just 2 points, and Podhale Nowy Targ has a game in hand at home.

Win Probability: Podhale Nowy Targ or Rekord Bielsko-Biala?

We calculate the win probability for this match as follows: Podhale Nowy Targ has a 48% chance to win, the draw is at 27%, and Rekord Bielsko-Biala has a 25% chance. This is based on the bookmaker odds, which imply a home win probability around 52% before margin removal, adjusted down slightly because of Rekord Bielsko-Biala's higher league position and Podhale Nowy Targ's recent heavy away loss. The home advantage and Podhale Nowy Targ's four wins in their last five matches are the main factors behind the favorite tag. The head-to-head record also favors the home team, with two wins in the last four meetings.

Odds & Match Prediction

The best available odds for this II Liga match are: Podhale Nowy Targ win at 1.91, draw at 2.30, and Rekord Bielsko-Biala win at 3.70. Bookmakers see Podhale Nowy Targ as the clear favorite. Our Podhale Nowy Targ vs Rekord Bielsko-Biala prediction is a home win, but the value may lie in the draw given the competitive nature of the fixture. Based on the stats, a 2-1 scoreline for Podhale Nowy Targ is a likely outcome.