Reilac Shiga FC - Roasso Kumamoto prediction 02/10/2026

The J3 League match between Reilac Shiga FC and Roasso Kumamoto takes place on October 2, 2026, at 07:00. Based on recent form and away record, Roasso Kumamoto is the favorite with a 55% win probability. This Reilac Shiga FC vs Roasso Kumamoto prediction looks at all the key stats to help you decide who will win.

Team Form

Reilac Shiga FC comes into this game with inconsistent results. In their last five matches, they have two wins and three losses. They lost 4-1 away to Nara on September 26, but before that they beat FC Ryukyu 3-0 at home. At home in the league, Reilac Shiga has struggled - only one win in four games, with three defeats. They have scored just four goals and conceded six in those home matches.

Roasso Kumamoto is in much better shape. The team is unbeaten in the last five games, with three wins and two draws. Away from home, they have been especially strong: three wins and one draw in four away league matches, with five goals scored and only one conceded. Recent away wins include a 1-0 victory at TheSpa Kusatsu Gunma and a 2-1 win at Fukushima United. This solid away form is a big factor in any Reilac Shiga FC vs Roasso Kumamoto prediction.

Head-to-Head Record

These two teams have met twice in 2026, both in the J2 League. The head-to-head record is perfectly balanced: each side won their home game. Reilac Shiga FC won 1-0 at home on March 8, while Roasso Kumamoto won 2-0 at home on May 3. So the H2H gives no clear advantage, but the home win for Reilac Shiga earlier this season shows they can beat this opponent on their own ground.

League Table Positions

In the overall J3 League standings, Roasso Kumamoto sits in 7th place with 13 points from 8 games (3 wins, 4 draws, 1 loss). Reilac Shiga FC is 9th with 12 points, but their record is more extreme: 4 wins and 4 losses, no draws. The big difference is in the home and away splits. Reilac Shiga has only 3 points from 4 home games (1 win, 3 losses), while Roasso Kumamoto has 10 points from 4 away games (3 wins, 1 draw) - the second-best away record in the league. These league table positions strongly influence the betting tips for this match.

Win Probability: Reilac Shiga FC or Roasso Kumamoto?

After analyzing all the data, we calculate the win probability as follows: Reilac Shiga FC has a 20% chance to win, a draw is at 25%, and Roasso Kumamoto has a 55% chance. The away team's excellent away record, combined with the home side's poor home form, makes Roasso Kumamoto the clear favorite. Although Reilac Shiga won the last meeting at this stadium, their current form is too unreliable. The 55% win probability for Roasso Kumamoto reflects their defensive solidity and consistency on the road.

Odds & Match Prediction

As odds for the match are not yet available, we base our prediction entirely on team form, head-to-head stats, and league positions. Bookmakers are likely to see Roasso Kumamoto as the favorite. Our match prediction is a win for Roasso Kumamoto, but a draw is a real possibility given the H2H history. For betting tips, backing the away team or the under 2.5 goals market could be worth considering, as Roasso Kumamoto's away games tend to be low-scoring.