Rosario Central Reserves - CA Aldosivi Reserve prediction 14/10/2026

Our Rosario Central Reserves vs CA Aldosivi Reserve prediction for October 14, 2026, in the Liga Profesional Reserves points to a tight match with the home side holding a slight edge. Based on the latest odds and team form, Rosario Central Reserves enters this match as the favorite with a 52% win probability, while CA Aldosivi Reserve has a 22% chance and the draw sits at 26%.

Team Form

Rosario Central Reserves comes into this match with a mixed record in their last five games: D, W, L, W, L. They are coming off a 2-2 draw away at Gimnasia La Plata Reserves on Oct 6. Before that, they secured a solid 2-0 home win against Union Santa Fe Reserves on Sep 30. Their recent home form shows they can be dangerous, but a 3-0 loss at Newells Old Boys Reserves on Sep 24 highlights some inconsistency.

CA Aldosivi Reserve's recent form reads W, L, L, L, D. They managed a 1-0 home win against CA Tigre Reserves on Oct 7, which broke a three-match losing streak. Prior to that, they fell 3-2 at San Lorenzo de Almagro Reserves and lost 1-0 at home to Quilmes Reserves. Their away form has been a concern, with only one win in their last five on the road.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record between these two teams is limited to one previous meeting. On May 12, 2026, CA Aldosivi Reserve hosted Rosario Central Reserves and won 1-0. That result gives the away side a psychological advantage, though the dynamics are different now with Rosario Central Reserves playing at home.

League Table Positions

Neither team appears in the top 12 of the overall Liga Profesional Reserves standings provided. This suggests both are in the lower half of the table, making this a crucial match for climbing the ranks. The available home and away standings also do not feature either side, indicating they have struggled to break into the top echelon of the league this season.

Win Probability: Rosario Central Reserves or CA Aldosivi Reserve?

Who will win this match? Our calculated win probability gives Rosario Central Reserves a 52% chance, the draw a 26% chance, and CA Aldosivi Reserve a 22% chance. We base this on the inverse of the best available odds, normalized to remove the bookmaker margin, and then adjusted for recent form and the home advantage. The odds heavily favor a home win, and Rosario Central Reserves' slightly better recent results at home support that. However, their inconsistency and CA Aldosivi Reserve's head-to-head win earlier this year keep the draw and away win probabilities significant.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers see Rosario Central Reserves as the clear favorite for this match. The best available odds for a home win are as low as 1.55, while a draw can be found at 3.94 and an away win for CA Aldosivi Reserve at 5.17. These odds reflect the expectation that the home side will control the game. Our Rosario Central Reserves vs CA Aldosivi Reserve prediction is a home win, but based on the stats, a low-scoring match could easily see the points shared. For betting tips, the home win offers value, but the draw is a live possibility given both teams' recent form.