Rotherham United - Bradford City prediction 06/10/2026

The Rotherham United vs Bradford City prediction for the EFL Trophy match on Oct 6, 2026, points to a tight contest. Bradford City enters as the slight favorite with a 45% win probability, while Rotherham United has a 30% chance and the draw sits at 25%. Kick-off is at 15:00 at Rotherham's home ground.

Team Form

Rotherham United's recent form has been inconsistent. In their last five matches, they have recorded one win, three draws, and one loss. Their most recent outing was a 1-0 away defeat to Exeter City on Oct 3. Before that, they drew 1-1 at home with Crewe Alexandra and 1-1 away to York City in the EFL Trophy. A 1-0 win at Northampton Town on Sep 19 was a bright spot, but a 3-3 home draw with Salford City on Sep 12 showed defensive issues.

Bradford City comes into this match in excellent shape. They are unbeaten in their last five games, with four wins and one draw. Their latest result was a 1-1 draw away to Reading on Oct 3. Prior to that, they beat Newcastle United U21 2-1 in the EFL Trophy, won 1-0 at Luton Town, won 1-0 at Notts County, and beat Leyton Orient 3-1 away in the League Cup. Bradford City's away form is particularly strong.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record between Rotherham United and Bradford City shows a balanced history. In their last 9 meetings, Rotherham United has 4 wins, Bradford City has 3 wins, and there have been 2 draws. The most recent match was on Feb 24, 2026, when Bradford City won 1-0 at home in League 1. The two matches before that were draws: 0-0 on Jan 10, 2026, and 2-2 on Oct 2, 2025. In the EFL Trophy specifically, they met twice before: Bradford City won 1-0 away on Feb 4, 2025, and Rotherham United won 1-0 away on Nov 19, 2024.

League Table Positions

Rotherham United competes in League 2, while Bradford City plays in League 1. The difference in league levels gives Bradford City a theoretical edge, as they face tougher opposition week in and week out. However, cup competitions like the EFL Trophy often see teams from lower divisions raise their game, especially at home.

Win Probability: Rotherham United or Bradford City?

Based on the available odds, team form, head-to-head record, and the league gap, we calculate the win probability as follows: Rotherham United has a 30% chance of winning, the draw has a 25% chance, and Bradford City has a 45% chance. The odds imply a tight match, but Bradford City's strong away form - four wins in their last five road games - and their higher league status tip the balance. Rotherham United's home advantage and the fact they have won 4 of the 9 H2H meetings keep them in contention, but their recent form of just one win in five is a concern.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers' odds for the Rotherham United vs Bradford City match reflect the close nature of this fixture. The best available home win odds are around 3.63, the draw is priced at 2.12, and an away win for Bradford City is at 2.01. These betting tips suggest the market sees Bradford City as the favorite, but not by a wide margin. Our Rotherham United vs Bradford City prediction is that Bradford City is more likely to win, but a draw is a real possibility. Based on the stats, the smart money is on the away side or the draw.